Kansas City Chiefs Season Win Total Odds, Pick & Prediction

Though I never envisioned the Kansas City Chiefs winning the Super Bowl at the outset of last season with all the defections on both sides of the ball, I still felt it was laughable oddsmakers at BetRivers Sportsbook dropped their season win total odds all the way down to 10.5. The move wasn’t warranted highly evidenced by Andy Reid’s squad going on to win 14 regular season games before adding another Lombardi Trophy to the mantelpiece. Unsurprisingly, the win total is back up to 11.5 with heavy vig supplanted on the over. The Chiefs have the look and feel of a dynasty with No. 15 under center as they look to build off their success and dominate the league once again. As fans eagerly anticipate the upcoming NFL betting season, let’s take a closer look at the Kansas City Chiefs’ season win total odds, schedule strength, and see which way to go as they look to defend their title.

Kansas City Chiefs: An Era of Excellence

In the fiercely competitive AFC West, the Kansas City Chiefs have established themselves as the team to beat. With their exceptional performances the last handful of years, it’s no surprise their once again installed favorites to win the division (-182). The Chiefs’ dominance is evident in their consistent success, having made the playoffs in each of the five seasons Patrick Mahomes called the QB1 shots. The Chiefs finished the regular season with an impressive 14-3 record to secure the AFC West crown for the seventh straight time and leave the Chargers, Raiders, and Broncos in their dust trail. Led by an electrifying quarterback and the brilliant coaching of Andy Reid, KC once again proved to be a force to be reckoned with.

In the playoffs, the Chiefs continued their dominant run. They defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round and advanced to their fifth consecutive AFC Championship game, where they triumphed over the Cincinnati Bengals. The road to the Super Bowl was not an easy one, but the Chiefs persevered. In a thrilling Super Bowl showdown, they emerged victorious against the Philadelphia Eagles – thanks to some help from the zebras in the closing moments – to solidify their status as champions.

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Kansas City Chiefs Season Wins Total: 11.5

The Chiefs’ win total is set at 11.5 over at BetRivers with -125 juice leached onto the high side of the impost. It marks the fifth time in as many years that Kansas City will enter the regular season with a double-digit win tally. Only once since Mahomes entered the NFL have the Chiefs failed to go over their win total; that coming back in 2021 when it came up a half-win short. You’re testing fate if you decide to fade this bunch. If ever there was a time to do so, it was last season with integral pieces to the puzzle bolting Kansas City for greener pastures. Instead of taking a step back, the franchise flourished to cement itself even more as one of if not THE league’s elite.

Case for the Over

The Kansas City Chiefs have built a winning tradition under the guidance of head coach Andy Reid and the exceptional play of Patrick Mahomes. Since Mahomes took over as the starting quarterback in 2018, the Chiefs have consistently surpassed expectations in logging 64 wins and only 18 losses in the regular season to go along with a pair of Super Bowl titles. They’ve gone over their win total in nine of the ten seasons under Reid’s leadership, demonstrating their ability to exceed expectations.

Mahomes, often regarded as one of the league’s best quarterbacks, has been a driving force behind the team’s success. His ability to make plays under pressure, extend plays with his mobility, and deliver pinpoint passes sets him apart from his peers. With weapons like TE Travis Kelce and a talented supporting cast, Mahomes has consistently elevated the Chiefs’ offense to new heights whether 100 percent healthy or playing through the pain. The kids a warrior you want in your corner with all the chips in the middle of the table!

Case for the Under

While the Kansas City Chiefs possess a potent offense, their defense has been a subject of concern. Last year, the Chiefs struggled against the pass (No. 18), allowing the most passing touchdowns in the NFL (33). Although they ranked well in net yards allowed per pass attempt, their performance against top pass defenses raised questions about their ability to consistently shut down high-caliber opponents.

To mitigate these concerns, the Chiefs made some offseason moves to bolster their defense. The signing of former 49ers DE Charles Omenihu and the emergence of young talents like Nick Bolton and L’Jarius Sneed could provide a much-needed boost. However, the secondary remains an area of focus, and any significant injuries could further impact the team’s defensive performance and ability to defend its crown within the pass-happy AFC West.

Kansas City Chiefs Schedule

Week 1: vs. Lions (TNF)

Week 2: at Jaguars

Week 3: vs. Bears

Week 4: at Jets (SNF)

Week 5: at Vikings

Week 6: vs. Broncos (TNF)

Week 7: vs. Chargers

Week 8: at Broncos

Week 9: vs. Dolphins (Germany)

Week 10: Bye Week

Week 11: vs. Eagles (MNF)

Week 12: at Raiders

Week 13: at Packers (SNF)

Week 14: vs. Bills

Week 15: at Patriots (MNF)

Week 16: vs. Raiders

Week 17: vs. Bengals

Week 18: at Chargers

Kansas City Chiefs Season Win Total Analysis

The strength of the Chiefs’ schedule is an essential factor to consider when evaluating their win total odds. Last season, the Chiefs faced a relatively favorable schedule, with many opponents underperforming expectations. However, this year presents a different challenge with a schedule that clocks in as the fifth toughest per Sharp Football Analysis. The Chiefs are projected to face a difficult set of opponents, including five teams ranked in the top 10 of the NFL. Starting in Week 12, they will run up against six consecutive opponents that own the rest advantage. This demanding stretch will undoubtedly decide the Chiefs fate in terms of going over or under their season win total odds.

Until proven otherwise, its wash, rinse and repeat with this group of guys. Perennial contenders to win the Super Bowl, I have no desire or inclination to fade a team that’s likely to procure a double-digit win tally, punch a ticket to the playoffs, and likely host another AFC championship game. Whether it can repeat remains to be seen, but you’re cutting your own throat when voluntarily fading No. 15 at this point of his career. That time will come, but it certainly isn’t now!

Kansas City Chiefs Season Win Total Prediction: Over 11.5 -125

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