Denver Broncos Season Win Total Odds, Pick & Prediction

The Denver Broncos are gearing up for the 2023 NFL betting season with hopes of bouncing back from what turned out to be a debacle of a campaign overlooked by a terribly hired coaching staff. After finishing 5-12 and being one of the three teams in the AFC west that failed to turn a profit for NFL bettors (7-10 ATS), the Broncos are determined to turn things around under the guidance of new head coach Sean Payton with getting back to the playoffs the ultimate goal. With an over/under win total set at 8.5 over at BetRivers Sportsbook, the Broncos face an intriguing challenge as they aim to exceed expectations and make a playoff push. Let’s analyze the Broncos’ chances of reaching their win total, examine their offseason additions and losses, assess their strength of schedule, and provide insights into why they could succeed or fall short this upcoming season.

Denver Broncos: How ‘Bout a Mulligan?

Before diving into the Broncos’ outlook for the 2023 season, let’s take a brief look back at their performance in 2022. It was a season filled with disappointment and underachievement as the Broncos finished fourth in the AFC West and missed out on the playoffs for the seventh straight season. It’s crazy to think, but the last time they punched a ticket to the second season they won the whole darn thing! Regardless, they struggled to find consistency and failed to capitalize on their offseason acquisitions, including quarterback Russell Wilson, who put forth the worst showing of his 11-year career. His enormous step back paired with the season-ending injury suffered by RB Javonte Williams saw Denver rank out with the worst scoring offense in the NFL.

The Broncos underwent significant changes during the offseason, hoping to address their shortcomings and build a competitive roster for the upcoming season. One of the most notable additions was the hiring of Sean Payton as the new head coach. Payton brings a wealth of experience and success, having previously led the New Orleans Saints to a Super Bowl victory as well as a number of playoff appearances. His arrival has injected renewed hope into the Broncos organization and raised expectations for the team’s performance moving forward.

In terms of player acquisitions, the Broncos made several moves to bolster their roster. They drafted WR Marvin Mims, LB Drew Sanders, DB Riley Moss, S JL Skinner, and OL Alex Forsyth. These rookies are expected to contribute to the team’s success and bring fresh talent to the roster. The Broncos also had some losses during the offseason with the notables including CB Kyle Fuller and DE Dre’Mont Jones. While these losses may impact the team’s depth and overall performance, the Broncos have made efforts to address these areas through other acquisitions.

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Denver Broncos Season Wins Total: 8.5

The Broncos’ win total for the 2023 season sits 8.5 with heavier -120 juice attached to the under. This O/U indicates that the Broncos are expected to improve from their previous season’s record of five wins. After running up against a middle of the road schedule strength a season ago, Denver will oppose what Sharp Football Analysis expects will be one of the tougher strengths of schedule this season (No. 23) going by opponent win totals. The Broncos will have eight games against teams that had winning records in 2022. This includes matchups against four teams that won 12 or more games and two games against teams that had five or fewer wins.

Case for the Over

There are several reasons to believe that the Broncos could exceed their win total and have a successful season. One key factor is the arrival of head coach Sean Payton. With his proven track record and ability to maximize offensive talent, Payton could provide a significant boost to the Broncos’ performance. Additionally, the team made offseason additions through the draft and free agency, strengthening their roster and addressing key areas of need. Another factor that could work in the Broncos’ favor is the potential improvement of Russell Wilson. After a disappointing season in 2022, Wilson will be determined to bounce back and demonstrate his elite playmaking abilities. If Wilson can regain his form and elevate the Broncos’ offense, it could greatly enhance their chances of surpassing their win total. But please, no more Broncos Country let’s roll garbage!

Furthermore, the Broncos’ defense was a bright spot the previous season, ranking among the top in the league in various metrics. If the defense can maintain its high level of performance and continue to stifle opponents, it would provide a solid foundation for the team to secure additional victories. That’s a good bet with DC Vance Joseph back calling the shots in the Mile High City.

Case for the Under

While there are reasons to be optimistic about the Broncos’ chances of exceeding their win total, there are also potential obstacles that could lead to them falling short. One concern is the uncertainty surrounding Russell Wilson’s performance. After a lackluster season in 2022, questions have arisen about his ability to regain his previous form. If Wilson struggles to recapture his elite play, it could hinder the Broncos’ offensive production and impact their win total.

Additionally, the Broncos face a challenging division in the AFC West. Competing against teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers twice a season presents a significant challenge. Another factor to consider is the Broncos’ schedule strength. While they have a favorable start to the season, facing teams like Las Vegas and Washington in their first few games, they also have several challenging matchups throughout the year. Week 3-14 look tough as nails! The difficulty of their schedule could make it tough for the Broncos to consistently win games and exceed their win total.

Denver Broncos Schedule

Week 1: vs. Raiders

Week 2: vs. Commanders

Week 3: at Dolphins

Week 4: at Bears

Week 5: vs. Jets

Week 6: at Chiefs (TNF)

Week 7: vs. Packers

Week 8: vs. Chiefs

Week 9: Bye Week

Week 10: at Bills (MNF)

Week 11: vs. Vikings (SNF)

Week 12: vs. Browns

Week 13: at Texans

Week 14: at Chargers

Week 15: at Lions

Week 16: vs. Patriots (SNF)

Week 17: vs. Chargers

Week 18: at Raiders

Denver Broncos Season Win Total Analysis

The Denver Broncos enter the 2023 NFL season with a win total set at 8.5. With the hiring of head coach Sean Payton and offseason additions to their roster, there is optimism that the Broncos can dramatically improve upon last year’s record and make a push for the playoffs. However, challenges such as the uncertainty surrounding Russell Wilson’s performance, a competitive division, and a demanding schedule could hinder their chances of coming through for their wagering supporters. I drank heaping loads of the Broncos Kool-Aid last season and paid for it dearly regardless of fading them in Russ’s return to the Twelfth Man the opening week. Still, I think this is a team that at worst flirts with a .500 record regardless of the schedule strength, so I’ll tempt fate and look to the high side of this impost. Hopefully it doesn’t burn me again!

Denver Broncos Season Win Total Prediction: Over 8.5 -105

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