Week 16 NFL Player Prop Best Bets

We came oh so close to knocking it out of the park with the NFL player prop best bets at Caesars Sportsbook but still managed to take home a profit. Each of David Montgomery, Jerry Jeudy, Tyler Allgeier, and Kyler Murray exceeded their respective rushing, receiving, and passing yards props but teased us with the alternates. Jahmyr Gibbs actually hit the 100+ yard plateau and scored the two touchdowns, Jeudy came a single yard away from going for 75+ receiving yards while Allgeier came five yards short of 50+. If Murray’s pick-six was thrown into the mix, he went for 300+ ;). Here’s to remaining in the black by hammering some Week 16 NFL player props – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

Bet Week 16 Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook

Bijan Robinson Over 59.5 Rushing Yards -115 | 100+ Rushing Yards +430 | 2+ Touchdowns +600

Arthur Smith is at the end of his rope heading into Week 16’s must-win home clash against the Indianapolis Colts. We rode Allgeier’s coattails last week against the Panthers wretched run defense and expected a double-digit allotment of carries to push us over his impost. To my surprise, he actually got his number called 14 times to Bijan Robinson’s seven. Apparently, Artie isn’t concerned about winning football games at this stage of his coaching career. If he was, he wouldn’t be allowing a lesser ball carrier command the rock in his offense. With Arthur Blank firing a salvo across his bow earlier this week, I firmly expect Smith to run his rookie into the ground against an Indy run D – that while improved the last few weeks with Grover Stewart back manning the middle – is still getting ripped for 120+ rushing yards and 1.7 touchdowns per game over the last three weeks. Even if the Falcons lose, he won’t have to field questions about why No. 7 is turning into dust on the sideline!

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 78.5 Combo Yards -115 | 100+ Receiving Yards +260 | Anytime Touchdown +125

The Lions will hit the U.S. Bank Stadium turf looking to lock down a division title for the first time since the early 90s. As such, I expect all hands to be on deck for this one against a Minnesota Vikings defense that simply just loves to blitz. It remains doing so at a league-high 47.7 percent clip with the pressure created resulting in a 9.5 hurry percentage (No. 6) and 41 sacks (No. 8). Jared Goff hasn’t been great when blitzed (54% completions) and his 5.5 percent turnover-worthy throw rate ranks fourth highest. With that, I firmly expect him to look to his favorite target repeatedly when under pressure which bodes extremely well for Amon-Ra St. Brown who hogs a team-high 30 percent first-read target share. Likely to be peppered with targets throughout, look for the Lions WR1 to be in line of logging successive 100+ yard receiving games and have another shot of hitting pay dirt in back-to-back weeks.

Trey McBride 100+ Receiving Yards +390 | 9+ Receptions +350 | Anytime Touchdown +180

Kyler Murray only managed to throw for 211 yards after completing 26 of 39 pass attempts against the 49ers last week. Eleven of those pass attempts went the way of stud tight end Trey McBride who reeled 10 of them in for 102 scoreless yards. That’s a beefy 30.5 percent target share people! With all the injuries the Redbirds are currently dealing with at the wide receiver position and both Marquise Brown and Greg Dortch still listed questionable to play, I expect Zona’s premiere tight end to once again be Murray’s favorite target in this matchup. Per The Edge at the 33rdTeam, Chicago has conceded the fifth most targets to the tight end position and allowed a 77 percent catch rate (No. 30) which has amounted to 714 receiving yards (No. 20) and a whopping seven touchdown receptions (No. 31). The Bears are serving up 6.2 receptions per game to the position. McBride’s receptions prop currently clocks in at 5.5 -154 at Caesars, but let’s go for the gusto instead with the expectation No. 85 goes HAM and puts on a show!

Bet NFL Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook