Responsible Gambling
April 2, 2024
Final Four Picks
April 2, 2024
The last event before the Masters next week is this week’s Valero Texas Open where World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is listed as the favorite. It is an unusually strong field in advance of the Masters with a number of players using this week as a prep for next week’s major. McIlroy is the favorite at odds of +800 at Caesars with Ludvig Aberg the second choice at +900. Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama are co-third choices at +1800, while Max Homa is next at +2000. Longshots winning on the PGA Tour have been common this season and last week it was another big payday with Stephan Jaegar winning at odds of 50-1. Let’s look at Valero Texas Open odds and picks.
Check out the latest Valero Texas Open odds at Caesars.
Venue: The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio is a par 72 that measures 7,438 yards. It features tight fairways and long rough. Scoring can be difficult, especially if the wind kicks up.
Last Year: Corey Conners was able to hold off Sam Stevens to win by one shot. Sam Ryder and Matt Kuchar finished in a tie for third while Patrick Rodgers finished in fifth place.
TV Coverage: NBC and Golf Channel
Valero Texas Open Odds
Rory McIlroy +800
Ludvig Aberg +900
Jordan Spieth +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Max Homa +2000
Collin Morikawa +2200
Corey Conners +2200
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +3000
Alex Noren +3000
Russell Henley +3300
Brian Harman +3500
Billy Horschel +3500
Byeong Hun An +3500
Harris English +3500
Keith Mitchell +4000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Maverick McNealy +5000
Akshay Bhatia +5500
Eric Cole +5500
Beau Hossler +5500
Tom Kim +5500
Lucas Glover +5500
Denny McCarthy +6000
Rickie Fowler +7000
Adam Schenk +7000
Nicolai Hojgaard +7000
Aaron Rai +7000
Andrew Putnam +7500
Davis Thompson +8000
Brendon Todd +8000
K.H. Lee +8000
Erik van Rooyen +8000
Doug Ghim +8000
Lee Hodges +8500
Ben Griffin +9000
Taylor Montgomery +9000
All other players are listed with odds of +10000 or more
Favorite
Rory McIlroy +800
Another golf betting favorite bit the dust last week, as Scheffler didn’t come through. I said a week ago that Scheffler was the only player you might be able to trust but I was still a bit leery just because golf betting favorites simply don’t win often enough to be profitable. This week it is McIlroy in the role of favorite. He can definitely win, but he doesn’t win as often as Scheffler and at this price I am not taking him.
Golf Picks
Ludvig Aberg +900
It seems everyone likes Aberg to win this week and that is the only reason I am somewhat leery of taking him. He still makes sense though, as he is playing really well and on some tough courses. He was 9th at Torrey Pines, 2nd at Pebble and 8th at TPC Sawgrass. He knows this area well having played golf at Texas Tech. I’ll put him on the list this week.
Billy Horschel +3500
If Horschel wants to play the Masters next week, then he has to win this event. He is definitely capable of winning, especially when he is motivated. He also comes in playing well with a 9th at PGA National and a 7th last week at Memorial Park. Four of his seven PGA Tour wins have come on Bermudagrass greens. I think the number is way too high on him this week and we get a lot of value.
Tom Kim +5500
I never thought we would see Kim listed at odds this high except perhaps in a major. Kim had to withdraw at THE PLAYERS to do illness. He has played well on tough courses in the past and TPC San Antonio should be to his liking. I think he is worth a shot at big odds this week.
Ryan Moore +10000
Why not Moore at big odds this week? He can hit the ball straight and find ways to score on a tough course. He plays better once the weather warms up and he has played well on this course in the past with a number of top 20 finishes.
Davis Riley +10000
Riley won on this course in 2020 on the Korn Ferry Tour so he will be very comfortable. He has played well in this area in the past and he may have turned the corner to better play last week when he was 14th at Houston. I’ll take a flyer on him this week.
Check out the latest Valero Texas Open odds at Caesars.
