Week 11 College Football Parlay Picks
November 11, 2022
Forget A.J. Brown, Hammer DeVonta Smith’s Receiving Yards Prop on MNF
November 11, 2022
Cashing RB prop tickets in at BetRivers Sportsbook came to a crashing end last week after taking the bagel touting Aaron Jones, Travis Etienne, and Rachaad White. For one reason or another, Green Bay chose to throw the ball 43 times against the league’s 26th worst run DVOA in a one score game. I can’t call the plays people! That paired with Aaron Jones’ ankle injury prevented any shot of cashing my highest rated RB prop of Week 9. I’m kicking myself for going with Travis Etienne’s receiving yards prop instead of just going all in on the kids rushing yards. While Trevor Lawrence had one of his best passing games of the season – as expected – Christian Kirk proved to be his favorite target. Rachaad White reeled in all three targets thrown his way, but he could only manage a paltry seven yards.
I smell a bounce back in Week 10 – let’s do this!!
Bet Week 10 RB Props at BetRivers Sportsbook
Saquon Barkley Over 92.5 Rushing Yards -114
This is a Slam Spot for the Giants RB1 who’s yet to erupt for his fantasy and prop supporters since going off for nearly 200 scrimmage yards against the Tennessee Titans way back in Week 1. Houston’s run defense stinks! It’s served up better than 154 yards per game and a healthy 5.7 yards per carry to opposing running backs.
Over the last three games, Lovie’s defense has allowed 567 yards and 6.8 yards per carry to Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, and Miles Sanders. The latter was the only one not to surpass the 100-yard plateau, but he did go for 93 and a touchdown. This is the first of two straight mouthwatering spots Saquon Barkley gets the opportunity to take advantage of with the Lions lined up next. Spoiler alert; we’ll be riding No. 26’s coat tails to the winners circle next week as well!
Dameon Pierce Under 76.5 Rushing Yards -114
Pierce has been a good get for his rushing yard prop supporters by going over the impost in six of his eight played games. After closing 70.5 yards in four straight, this week’s number to beat against the Giants is the highest of the season. He should surpass it. The Giants run defense is no bueno with it serving up 888 yards (No. 25) and 5.4 yards per carry while being ranked No. 24 in rush DVOA.
However, I think the GMEN take the wood to the Texans which means Davis Mills will be forced to throw the ball much more than Lovie Smith would like. This position is all about the game script. Dameon Pierce is a stud, but he’s banged up right now after suffering a chest injury against Philly that had him limited in practice all week. New York won’t allow him to hook his investors up this time around.
Christian McCaffrey Over 95 Rushing + Receiving Yards -110
No offering for RUN CMC’s R+R prop was on the board at the time of this writing. It doesn’t matter. He’s going HAM on Sunday night against a Chargers run defense that’s been shredded for 130+ rushing yards per game and ranks No. 26 in rush DVOA. San Francisco is a 7-point favorite with a team total of 26.5 at BetRivers with heavier -118 juice on the over. Linemakers expect the Niners to do some scoreboard denting in this contest, and you have to imagine McCaffrey plays a large role with Shanahan already giving him a ton of work since coming over from Carolina.
Austin Ekeler Under 12.5 Rushing Attempts -110
Austin Ekeler clocks in as the NFL’s No. 1 running back from a fantasy sense by way of ripping opposing defenses for over 800 scrimmage yards and a whopping 10 touchdowns. He’s been entrusted as the offense’s primary weapon with Keenan Allen a no-show and Mike Williams out for the foreseeable future due to a high ankle sprain. Sunday night’s assignment will be rough however with the 49ers owners of the No. 4 rush DVOA that’s only allowed 3.3 yards per carry and four touchdowns.
With Herbert forced to throw a ton in this one due to San Fran doing as it pleases offensively, it’ll limit Ekeler’s rushing chances. He’s only averaging 12.2 carries per game as it is – I’d be shocked if game script allows for him to receive more than 10!
Miles Sanders Under 60.5 Rushing Yards -110
The Philadelphia Eagles are lined heavy 11-point favorites to sweep the season rivalry from the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football. When these teams met up back in Week 3, the Eagles exploded for 24 points in the second quarter to put the game on ice. Washington has been no joke stopping the run over the last month with it giving up 80 per game to opposing running backs. Sanders’ rushing yards prop closed 63.5 in the first go-round, and he came 18 yards short of exceeding it even though he got 15 cracks to do so. Jalen Hurts’ arm will ultimately decide the outcome of this one. Be quick to act once this number hits the board as I expect a steady stream of under money to push it lower instantaneously.
