MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Saturday, May 4

This past weekend wasn’t kind to my MLB parlay picks and it all started on Saturday. The day did however start out in the green after the Dodgers took care of business against the Blue Jays with Tyler Glasnow only allowing 1 ER through his six innings of work. Those profits were swiftly wiped away by the Rangers who allowed Hunter Greene to dominate them through seven while Michael Lorenzen failed to exceed his K prop. Ranger Suarez laughed in my face and continued his resurgent 2024 campaign by tossing eight innings of 1 ER ball at the Padres, and of course all five of the Phillies runs were scored in the first five innings killing my position on the under which cashed for the full game. Here’s to getting off the mat and once again adding to our bottom line at Caesars Sportsbook with Saturday’s installment of parlay picks – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals MLB Same Game Parlay: 

I might be taking a risk by betting against the Nationals for the second time is an many days backing Kikuchi in the series opener, but I can’t resist given the shaky performance of Jake Irvin, whose been nothing if not a gas can when toeing his home bump. Despite his strong performances on the road, Irvin has struggled when pitching at Nationals Park, with noticeable splits in his stats. He boasts a 2-0 record with a 2.35 ERA and a .198 batting average against in 23 innings across four away starts, but at home, he’s 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA and a .362 BAA in just 10.2 innings over two starts. This inconsistency extends to the Nationals as a whole, who have been far more successful on the road (10-7, +$946), compared to their 4-8 record at home (-$214).

Additionally, Caesars’ oddsmakers might consider offering a discounted price on the Blue Jays due to the struggles Kevin Gausman has experienced at the outset of the 2024 MLB betting season. The righty, who had an impressive 12-9 record with a 3.16 ERA and 237 strikeouts just a year ago, is currently experiencing a downturn, pitching to a 4.50 ERA and allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings, while maintaining just a 3.8 K/BB ratio. For Toronto to remain competitive in the highly contested AL East, Gausman will need to rediscover his form from last season. The Nationals will undoubtedly be one of the more popular home underdogs of the slate, but I believe this could be a costly mistake for MLB bettors who underestimate the talent and advantage the Blue Jays’ pitcher possesses in this pairing. The switch could flip at any moment! I have confidence in Gausman’s ability to bounce back and perform well against a Washington offense that’s struggled against RHP in averaging 3.5 runs per game (#27).

• BLUE JAYS MONEYLINE 
• BLUE JAYS OVER TEAM TOTAL 
• GAUSMAN UNDER TOTAL HITS ALLOWED

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Same Game Parlay:

It’s disheartening to witness the struggles of the reigning NL champions, as the injury bug has created significant challenges for Torey Lovullo and his coaching staff. With Merrill Kelly recently placed on the injured list and Zac Gallen set to miss his next start, the Diamondbacks are running thin on reliable pitching options. Surprisingly, Brandon Pfaadt has emerged as one of the team’s more dependable starters, boasting a 1-1 record with a 4.63 ERA while limiting opponents to a .244 batting average. Despite a tough start to the season contributing to his inflated ERA, his FIP sits over a run lower at 3.54. In his last three starts spanning 18.1 innings, Pfaadt has surrendered just 13 hits (2 HR) and 6 earned runs. Additionally, the 25-year-old has found some success against the Padres, holding Fernando Tatis Jr. and co. to a .217 batting average across two starts, with a 13:5 K/BB ratio.

On the other hand, Michael King’s performance as a full-time starter has taken a nosedive in recent weeks. The right-hander has been roughed up for 22 hits (8 HR) and 15 earned runs over his last four starts, totaling just 21.2 innings. Despite his struggles, I remain optimistic about King’s ability to bounce back, and a matchup against the struggling Diamondbacks could be just what he needs to regain his form. Although the Diamondbacks have been potent against left-handed pitching (#1), their performance against right-handed pitchers has been lackluster, averaging just 3.7 runs per game (323) and batting a dismal .214 as a team (#29). King benefits from facing a slumping Snakes lineup with only a few hitters who have faced him before, setting the stage for a promising start. All signs point to an intriguing pitcher’s duel in this matchup!

• FULL GAME UNDER
• KING OVER TOTAL PITCHING STRIKEOUTS
• PFAADT OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED

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