We kicked off last Wednesday’s MLB parlay picks with a wire-to-wire win backing Colin Rea and the Brewers against the Rays at Caesars Sportsbook, but then proceeded to follow that same game parlay cash up with a pair of tough to swallow defeats. The Reds got to Musgrove early, but then the bats went silent and allowed him to just surpass his total outs recorded prop. On top of that, they lost the game 6-2 after conceding four runs in the seventh. If that wasn’t tough enough, the Mets were robbed of sending the game to extras against the Cubs and lost 1-0 but found themselves in that position due to doing next to nothing against Shota Imanaga through seven innings. Here’s to finding some solid footing this Hump Day – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Same Game Parlay:

Offensively, it just hasn’t been working for either the Mets or Cardinals to this point of the baseball betting season. New York rates out just below average with it averaging 4.4 runs per game (#17) while batting .236 as a team (#19), and leaving an average of 3.6 runners in scoring position per game (#24). It’s been even worse for St. Louis who’s averaged 3.5 runs per game (#29) while batting just over the Mendoza Line (.214) and leaving 3.5 runners in scoring position on base per game (#21). The Mets have split their 34 played games against the closing O/U, while the Redbirds have cashed under tickets in 21 of 32 overall games.

Jose Quintana hasn’t done much to impress through seven starts in going 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA while serving up 4.0 walks and only striking out 6.2 batters per nine innings, but his best showing of the season occurred a few weeks back against this Redbirds outfit whom he held to just three hits and 1 ER over eight strong innings. St. Louis has struggled mightily against left-handed pitching in batting a league-worst .180 amounting to just 3.5 runs per game allowing for under cashes on five of eight occasions. Sonny Gray also dominated the Mets once already after tossing six innings of 1 ER ball with 9 K to help lead St. Louis to the 7-4 win at Citi Field. With a 23:2 K/BB ratio that’s backed by a miniscule 0.98 ERA at Busch Stadium, another quality start looks to be in the cards for No. 54. Same goes for Quintana. Look for both starters to set the tone before each above average bullpen takes over to take this one home. 

• FULL GAME UNDER
• QUINTANA UNDER TOTAL HITS ALLOWED
• GRAY OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED

Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Same Game Parlay:

Now that the Twins well-timed 12-game win streak is a thing of the past, we can get back to taking advantage of what I deem to be a flawed roster that’s benefitted greatly from the caliber of opposition its run up against a month-plus into the MLB betting season. The offense rates out above average with it scoring 4.6 runs per game (#11), but it’s still proven to be a free-swinging bunch evidenced by a 23.9% K Rate (#21), and ranks out amongst the worst in the league at leaving runners on base when in scoring position (#26). Its strength lies in the pitching department where Minnesota ranks No. 11 in quality starts and is backed by a top-10 bullpen. Chris Paddack has been a nice surprise within the starting rotation in helping lead Minnesota to wins in five of six made starts, but he’ll be challenged tonight against a Mariners offense that excels against two of his three most heavily used pitch types per Baseball Savant.

Though it hasn’t been the start to the season George Kirby fantasy owners and prop bettors envisioned, the right-hander is still 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA that’s backed by an even more impressive 2.09 FIP. He’s tallied a quality start in three of his last four turns, and enters start No. 8 off a no-decision showing that saw him throw six innings of 1 ER ball with a 3:0 K/BB ratio against the Astros in Houston. He’s racked up some of his highest strikeout totals against opponents unfamiliar with his stuff to date which will have me riding the high side of his K prop in this showdown with the Twins who’ve struck out at a 26.5% clip at home. As solid the Twins pen’s been, the Mariners has been even better (#3). Hopefully Seattle’s upper echelon arms are available to see this one all the way through.

• MARINERS MONEYLINE
• KIRBY OVER TOTAL PITCHING STRIKEOUTS
• PADDACK UNDER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED

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