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Rory McIlroy is listed as the favorite to win this week’s Wells Fargo Championship. McIlroy is the defending champion but it should be noted that this year’s event takes place at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm instead of the normal location of Quail Hollow because the Presidents Cup is at Quail Hollow later this year. McIlroy is getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers, as he is listed at odds of +750. No other player is listed with odds or less than +2100. Let’s look at Wells Fargo Championship picks
Venue: This event takes place at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm which is a par 70 that measures 7,160 yards. The last time TPC Potomac hosted a PGA Tour event was in 2018. The course features bentgrass fairways and greens and it should favor players who are accurate off the tee.
Last Year: Rory McIlroy won last year’s event for his first PGA Tour win in a year and half. He finished one shot ahead of Abraham Ancer. It was the third win for McIlroy at Quail Hollow but it wasn’t easy, as he had to hold off Ancer who shot a 5-under 66 on Sunday. Viktor Hovland and Keith Mitchell finished in a tie for third, while Gary Woodland finished in fifth place.
TV Coverage: CBS and Golf Channel
Wells Fargo Championship Odds
Rory McIlroy +750
Tony Finau +2100
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2100
Corey Conners +2100
Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Abraham Ancer +3200
Gary Woodland +3600
Marc Leishman +3600
Patrick Reed +3700
Keegan Bradley +3700
Russell Henley +3700
Paul Casey +4100
Seamus Power +4800
Si Woo Kim +4800
Max Homa +4800
Webb Simpson +4800
Jason Day +5000
Sergio Garcia +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Jhonattan Vegas +5500
Matt Kuchar +5500
Keith Mitchell +5500
Brian Harman +6500
Davis Riley +6500
Aaron Rai +7000
Kevin Streelman +7000
Matt Jones +7000
Doug Ghim +7000
Matthew NeSmith +7000
Brendan Steele +7000
Sepp Straka +7000
Dylan Frittelli +7500
Troy Merritt +7500
Joel Dahmen +7500
Francesco Molinari +7500
Anirban Lahiri +7500
C.T. Pan +7500
Brandon Wu +8500
Denny McCarthy +9000
David Lipsky +9000
Nate Lashley +9000
Russell Knox +9000
Rickie Fowler +9000
Stewart Cink +9000
Cameron Davis +9000
Lanto Griffin +9000
Kurt Kitayama +9000
Alex Smalley +9000
Luke List +9000
All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more
Favorite
Rory McIlroy +750
A golf betting favorite actually won last week, as Jon Rahm won in Spain. I said last week that Rahm was the clear favorite in a relatively weak field, but his odds were so low that there still wasn’t much value in taking him. It is somewhat similar this week with McIlroy in terms of the odds, as he is the clear betting favorite, but I don’t think he has nearly the chance of winning that Rahm had last week. I am definitely looking elsewhere this week.
Value Picks
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2100
I said in the European Tour preview that I was going to stick with Adri Arnaus and he delivered last week with his first win. I think Fitzpatrick fits into the same category on the PGA Tour, as he is overdue for his first PGA Tour win. This should be the perfect venue for him, as this course favors players who are accurate off the tee. Fitzpatrick has contended a few times this year, but hasn’t gotten over the hump. Perhaps this is the week.
Corey Conners +2100
If you want a player who is accurate off the tee and has a really good short game then Conners fits the bill. He has gained at least two shots on approach in each of his last five starts. He has a very similar skill set to that of Fitzpatrick and this course should favor him.
Abraham Ancer +3200
I think Ancer has a much better chance to win this week than he had last week in Mexico. Last week’s course favored longer hitters, while this week favors those who are accurate off the tee. Ancer has a strong short game and if his putter cooperates, he should contend this week and we get him at a nice price.
Keegan Bradley +3700
We are sticking with players who are accurate off the tee and have a good short game. Bradley fits into that category and he has done well in the past on bentgrass courses. He has finished in the top 11 in three of his last four starts. He should find this course to his liking and I expect him to contend this week.
Cameron Young +5000
I have definitely underrated Young in the past, but no longer. He looks like one of the younger players who is going to contend on a regular basis. I am shocked his odds are this high in a field that really isn’t that strong. I’ll take a flyer on him at odds of 50-1.
Davis Riley +6500
You can almost repeat what I said about Young in this section for Riley. He is one of the young players who looks poised to contend on a regular basis. I am really surprised his odds are so high. He has all the looks of a player who could get his first win soon.
Check out the latest Wells Fargo Championship odds at SugarHouse.
