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It is a quick turnaround for many of the players this week, as they take on the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook at the Valspar Championship after dealing with TPC Sawgrass last week in THE PLAYERS Championship. A surprisingly strong field is assembled for the Valspar event with half of the world’s top ten ranked players in the field. Justin Thomas is listed as a slight favorite, just ahead of Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa. I went 2-3 with the matchups last week at THE PLAYERS, which was especially disappointing considering Dustin Johnson shot the back nine of his life to hand us a loss. Let’s look at this week’s Valspar Championship matchup picks.
Defending Champion: Sam Burns
Valspar Championship Matchups
Justin Thomas -125 vs. Collin Morikawa
Viktor Hovland -140 vs. Dustin Johnson
Viktor Hovland -120 vs. Justin Thomas
Collin Morikawa -120 vs. Xander Schauffele
Xander Schauffele -140 vs. Tyrrell Hatton
Abraham Ancer -140 vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Dustin Johnson -120 vs. Sam Burns
Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 vs. Tyrrell Hatton
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -142 vs. Jason Day
Sam Burns -115 vs. Louis Oosthuizen
Shane Lowry -125 vs. Matthew Fitzpatrick
Joel Dahmen -115 vs. C.T. Pan
Pat Perez -120 vs. Charley Hoffman
Brendon Todd -120 vs. Chad Ramey
Jason Kokrak -120 vs. Gary Woodland
Keegan Bradley -120 vs. Brian Harman
MacKenzie Hughes -120 vs. Sebastian Munoz
Lanto Griffin -115 vs. Taylor Moore
Abraham Ancer -130 vs. Keegan Bradley
Russell Knox -115 vs. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Brooks Koepka -115 vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Mito Pereira -115 vs. Lanto Griffin
Harold Varner III -115 vs. Mackenzie Hughes
Kevin Kisner -120 vs. Denny McCarthy
Jason Kokrak -120 vs. Shane Lowry
Bubba Watson -115 vs. Alex Noren
Nick Taylor -115 vs. Pat Perez
Golf Picks
Collin Morikawa -105 vs. Justin Thomas
I said in the odds preview that I thought Morikawa should be listed as the favorite. Thomas had a good second round last week at THE PLAYERS and then didn’t do much. He does have three top 20 finishes in this tournament, but I think Morikawa is the better choice. He had some extra time off last week after missing the cut and the rest could be a factor this week. I’ll take Morikawa in this matchup.
Viktor Hovland -140 vs. Dustin Johnson
I am still not sold DJ has turned the corner. He had everything go right on the back nine last week in the final round at THE PLAYERS, costing us a win in one of the matchups. I’ll believe he has turned things around when I see him play well for four rounds. We know that Hovland is playing well, as he has five top 10 finishes in his last six starts. He tied for 3rd in this tournament a year ago. I will take Hovland in this matchup.
Xander Schauffele -140 vs. Tyrrell Hatton
Schauffele was one of the players that got the worst of the weather last week and he missed the cut. He may benefit from the extra rest, while Hatton has to deal with short rest and with the fact that he was up and down last week. I think Schauffele is the clear choice in this matchup.
Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 vs. Tyrrell Hatton
I am going against Hatton twice this week and in this case I am taking Fitzpatrick. He had to deal with the bad weather last week and missed the cut. He should do well this week at Copperhead and I think it is only a matter of time before he gets his first PGA Tour win. I will take him in this matchup against Hatton.
Abraham Ancer -130 vs. Keegan Bradley
Ancer played well last week and he played well in this event a year ago, as he finished in fifth place. I know that Bradley played well last week and he finished second in this event a year ago, but I think this is a spot to go against him this week. I don’t know that he recovers from being in contention last week and failing with the short rest. I will take Ancer in this matchup.
Check out the latest Valspar Championship odds at SugarHouse Sportsbook.
