The Pittsburgh Steelers are gearing up for the 2023 NFL season with fans and NFL bettors alike eagerly awaiting to see what Mike Tomlin has up his sleeve in this his 17th season running the show in the Steel City. After a tumultuous start to the 2022-23 campaign, the Steelers managed to turn things around and finish with a respectable 9-8 SU record. In doing so, Tomlin kept his streak of not overlooking a losing season intact which in turn saw the franchise cash the over of its season win total odds a third straight time. Now, as the new season approaches, oddsmakers at PointsBet Sportsbook have set the Steelers’ win total at 8.5 games which is a full game higher than last year’s offering. Let’s explore the betting odds and make predictions for the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 2023 season.

Pittsburgh Steelers: The Dark Horse of the North

Before delving into the upcoming season, let’s take a quick look back at the Steelers’ performance from last year. With an O/U set at 7.5 before the season began, the Steelers managed just three wins through their first 10 games and seemed destined to absorb their first losing season in 19 years. However, they defied the odds and rallied to finish with a 9-8 record, extending head coach Mike Tomlin’s streak of non-losing seasons to 16. The Steelers finished third in the AFC North standings. It’s worth noting however that they were able to hold their own with each team playing to 3-3 SU records within division play. Pittsburgh proved to be only one of two profitable teams to wager on in the AFC North in going 10-6-1 ATS, and also played to the “MO” of the division with the under cashing in 10 times.

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Pittsburgh Steelers Season Wins Total: 8.5

One of the most popular NFL betting options is the season win total, which allows bettors to predict the number of victories a team will achieve throughout the regular season. The Pittsburgh Steelers win total is currently set at 8.5 with PointsBet currently attaching exorbitant -165 juice to the high side of the impost. Pittsburgh has exceeded its season win total odds in all but two seasons dating back to 2014.

The Case for the Over

There are several reasons why the Steelers have a strong chance of surpassing their win total of 8.5 games. Firstly, the stability at the quarterback position is a major factor. Kenny Pickett, who showed promise in his rookie season, went 7-5 as the starter and displayed significant growth over the course of the year. He improved his decision-making and showed his ability to perform in clutch situations. With another year of development under his belt, Pickett is expected to take another step forward in 2023.

Additionally, the Steelers made dramatic improvements to the offensive line which proved to be a major thorn in the unit’s side right from the opening week. That should provide Pickett with better protection and open up opportunities for the running game. The addition of veteran Isaac Seumalo, Nick Herbig, and rookie Broderick Jones will bolster the line’s run-blocking prowess. With Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris leading the rushing attack, the Steelers have the potential to boast a top-five rushing offense.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Steelers have made key additions to address their weaknesses. The signings of Cole Holcomb and Elandon Roberts at inside linebacker will strengthen the run defense and add depth to the position. The re-signing of Larry Ogunjobi and the acquisition of Patrick Peterson provide upgrades to the defensive line and secondary, respectively. With

T.J. Watt leading the charge, the Steelers’ defense is poised to be a formidable unit.

The Case for the Under

While there are strong arguments for the Steelers surpassing the 8.5-win mark, there are also factors that could hinder their success. One potential obstacle is the schedule. While they have the eighth-easiest strength of schedule per Sharp Football Analysis, the Steelers have been known to play down to their competition. Head coach Mike Tomlin will need to ensure that the team is prepared for matchups when favored to come out on top.

In addition, the AFC North is highly competitive, and the Steelers will face stiff competition from the likes of the Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, and Cleveland Browns. These divisional matchups can be unpredictable and could have a significant impact on the Steelers’ win total. It will be crucial for the Steelers to perform well within the division if they’re to exceed expectations.

Pittsburgh Steelers Schedule

Week 1: vs. 49ers

Week 2: vs. Browns (MNF)

Week 3: at Raiders (SNF)

Week 4: at Texans

Week 5: vs. Ravens

Week 6: Bye Week

Week 7: at Rams

Week 8: vs. Jaguars

Week 9: vs. Titans (TNF)

Week 10: vs. Packers

Week 11: at Browns

Week 12: at Bengals

Week 13: vs. Cardinals

Week 14: vs. Patriots (TNF)

Week 15: at Colts

Week 16: vs. Bengals

Week 17: at Seahawks

Week 18: at Ravens

Pittsburgh Steelers Season Win Total Analysis

Taking all factors into consideration, my prediction for the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 2023 season is a double-digit win tally. This would put them above their win total of 8.5 games and secure a spot in the AFC playoffs. With a more experienced Kenny Pickett working behind what should be a drastically improved front wall, and a solid defense, the Steelers have all the pieces to not only surpass their win total, but also challenge for AFC North bragging rights. As such, I’d look for an alternative O/U to beat at a plus-money return and slam the over! If your out doesn’t offer up alternative win totals, betting the Steelers (+125) to make the playoffs is an attractive alternative.

Pittsburgh Steelers Season Win Total Prediction: Over 8.5 -165

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