Open Championship Prop Picks

The Open Championship begins on Thursday and not only can we bet on a player to win the tournament and bet the matchups; we can also bet some props. We have done well in the past betting the props in majors and we’ll look to have some good success again this week. We have a number of props to choose from at BetRivers. There are the normal props involving a hole-in-one, whether the tournament will go to a playoff, nationality of the winner, etc. We’ll look at some of these props and try and pick some winners. Let’s look at Open Championship props.

Winner to Birdie the 72nd Hole

Yes +125

No -167

Winner to Par the 72nd Hole

Yes -110

No -120

The 18^th hole is going to be very interesting in the 2023 Open Championship at Royal Liverpool. It is a par 5 but it is not an easy hole. Many people are predicting we will see as many double bogeys as we see eagles. The interesting part of these two props is that we can get plus money on a birdie on the last hole. I usually like to bet on par for the finishing hole, but I don’t see a ton of value in that prop. I think there is more value on the Yes on the birdie at +125.

Winner to play in Final Group in Round 4

Yes -275

No +200

I would like to play the No on this prop but I need a lot more value than the 2-1 price. Most of the time the winner does come from the final group, but I don’t want to lay nearly 3-1. I’ll pass on this one.

Top Asian Player

Tom Kim +460

Hideki Matsuyama +490

Sungjae Im +550

Si Woo Kim +600

Byeong Hun An +600

K.H. Lee +1600

Keita Nakajima +1900

Takumi Kanaya +2100

Rikuya Hoshino +2600

Kazuki Higa +2600

Taiga Semikawa +2900

Jazz Janewattananond +3600

Taichi Kho +3800

Shubhankar Sharma +4000

Hiroshi Iwata +4800

Kyung Nam Kang +5500

Bio Kim +6500

Kensei Hirata +7000

Kazuki Yasumori +7000

My favorite prop may very well be this one with Tom Kim listed at odds of nearly 5-1. Did you see the list of players he has to beat? There are very few players who can even come remotely close to Kim in this tournament. Kim is definitely in better form than any of the players on this list. Matsuyama hasn’t played well lately and as much as I like the game of Im, he hasn’t been playing well. Si Woo Kim doesn’t have the game to play well on this course. I think An and Lee would be the only two minor threats but I think Tom Kim is the clear choice to win this prop and we get nearly 5-1 odds on him.

Hole-in-One in the Tournament

Yes -188

No +158

I am a little bit surprised that the price on the Yes on the hole-in-one is this high. I know that we see a hole-in-one quite a bit in major championships, but usually the price isn’t this high. I went in and looked at all of the par 3’s to see just how likely we are to see a hole-in-one at Royal Liverpool. The first par 3 is the 6^th hole and it measures 201 yards. I just don’t see anyone getting lucky and holing out a shot from 201 yards on the 6^th hole. The 9^th hole is even longer at 218 yards so I don’t see a hole-in-one on this par 3. The 13^th hole is another par 3 and it measures 194 yards. It is another hole where I don’t think we see an ace. Whether we see a hole-in-one comes down to the brand-new 17^th hole which is 136 yards.

There is no question that the shorter hole means a hole-in-one is possible, but this is not an easy par 3, as finding the right distance with the wind will not be easy. I think taking the no on a hole-in-one is the right way to go and we get +158. If there is going to be a hole-in-one then it should be on No. 17 and you can get +104 on the Yes on a hole-in-one on that hole. You could just play both props and guarantee to be a winner unless someone does the unlikely and gets an ace on one of the long par 3’s.

Check out the latest Open Championship odds at BetRivers.