NFL Week 8 Quarterback Props
October 28, 2022
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October 31, 2022
We ended up cashing three of four wide receiver props over at PointsBet Sportsbook last week which included my best bet on Jaylen Waddle who led Dolphins receivers with 88 yards. Other winners included Terry McLaurin who smashed his 50.5-yard impost and Davante Adams who led the Raiders in receiving yardage. The lone loser proved to be Alec Pierce who came up just short of getting the job done. Makes sense considering how much of my bankroll the Colts have chewed up and spit out through the first seven weeks of the season! Turn the page; the following are the pass catchers I’m riding and fading in Week 8 NFL prop betting action.
Bet Week 8 WR Props at PointsBet Sportsbook
DeVonta Smith Over 55.5 Receiving Yards -115
The Steelers continue to be a defense to target slot receivers against. It just allowed Tua Tagovailoa to complete seven of 12 pass attempts for 110 yards to slot receivers with Tyreek Hill’s 47 yards on 27 snaps leading the way. Though not used there as often, DeVonta Smith has been just about as efficient as it gets in the slot with him reeling in 17 of 19 targets on 112 snaps and turning them into 214 yards and a touchdown.
With a near 90 percent catch rate and Pittsburgh giving up nearly 15 yards a reception to receivers in the slot, Smith could surpass this impost on limited targets with the Steelers likely to be paying more attention to A.J. Brown.
Tyreek Hill Over 84.5 Receiving Yards -120
The Week 8 matchup between the Dolphins and Lions has the highest total on the board. Currently clocking in at 51.5, linemakers expect both teams to put on a show. I’ve already recommended backing the over of Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards prop. While Detroit has been better defending the pass (No. 22) than the run (No. 31), it’s still ranks out below average in both categories. Due to holding a lead all game and losing the time of possession battle by 7+ minutes, Miami only threw the ball 35 times last week. Because of it, Tyreek Hill failed to exceed his yardage prop for the second time in the last three weeks.
In what’s likely to be a competitive match, I expect Hill to go berserk against a Lions pass D allowing 13.5 yards per reception (No. 23) and a 67 percent catch rate (No. 26) to opposing wide receivers. I fully expect No. 10 to lead the team in receiving Week 8!
Wan’Dale Robinson Over 4.5 Receptions -115
While I fully expect Saquon Barkley to go nuclear in Sunday’s matchup against the Seahawks, the setup is there for the GMEN’s rookie wide receiver to have himself a big game as well. While New York’s passing attack leaves much to be desired with it racking up fewer than 161 yards per game, the poor output has had more to do with the receiving corps overall health more than anything else.
With Daniel Bellinger out, more opportunities will be there for Wan’Dale Robinson and I fully expect the Kentucky product to take full advantage. Since returning to the huddle, Robinson has received 12 targets and turned them into 87 yards and a touchdown. His route participation got bumped up to 81 percent last week against Jacksonville, and he’s now the owner of a 31 percent target share; the latter is elite! The kid knows how to get open, and I expect him to do just that against a Seattle secondary that leaves much to be desired in pass coverage (No. 26). This is my favorite prop of the bunch!
Diontae Johnson Under 51.5 Receiving Yards -115
In fading Kenny Pickett this week against the Eagles stout secondary, it only makes perfect sense to do the same with his pass catchers; especially ones that line up out wide a majority of their snaps. Philly has conceded the fourth fewest fantasy points to wide receivers lined up out wide. They’ve also conceded the absolute lowest catch rate (54.4%). Darius Slay and James Bradberry got that on lock down!
Chase Claypool is the Steelers primary slot receiver. That means Diontae Johnson and George Pickens are set to feel the wrath. For one reason or another, Pickett has been unable to build a rapport with the Steelers WR1. As such, I’m going to bank on that trend continuing in this one as tough an assignment it should prove to be. Johnson’s only surpassed this impost once over the last four games, and I don’t foresee much success occurring this week either.
