Week 9 NFL Parlay Picks
November 3, 2022
NFL Quarterback Props – Justin Fields to Smash Rushing Yards Prop
November 4, 2022
Had Raheem Mostert not gotten his bell rung on his very first carry and missed out on a handful of carries immediately after, we would’ve swept the board with our RB props at BetRivers Sportsbook last week. Tony Pollard went on to combine for 148 scrimmage yards against the Bears porous run D, while Caleb Huntley’s 91 yards smashed his laughable 38.5-yard target to help lead the Falcons to the overtime win over the Panthers. Mostert ended up being the lone loser after coming up three yards short of hitting the over. That makes it back-to-back 2/3 plus-money weeks with some juicy matchups to attack in Week 9. Let’s see if we can’t secure that first clean sweep!
Bet Week 9 RB Props at BetRivers Sportsbook
Aaron Jones Over 98.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
Aaron Jones has been a bit of a disappointment for his fantasy owners clocking in as the league’s No. 9 ranked overall running back. He does however find himself in a juicy spot in Week 9 staring at a Detroit Lions defense that’s hemorrhaged yardage to opposing RBs every passing Sunday. We should’ve cashed that ticket with Mostert damn it! Regardless, I’m coming right back with Jones in this spot with the Packers RB1 notoriously making it a point to haunt his division rival every chance he gets.
Jones has averaged 142 scrimmage yards versus the Lions the last three times he ran up against their Swiss cheese defense. Detroit is serving up nearly 123 rushing and 24+ receiving yards to opposing running backs on the year. They’ve been ripped for 5.2 yards per carry and allowed 25 of 30 targets to be completed. Over the last four games, Jones has seen his percentage of rushing attempts jump from 40 to 59. With Green Bay sorely in need of a win and the passing offense still a mess, I fully expect OC Adam Stenavich to feature his RB1 in this pristine spot!
Travis Etienne Over 22.5 Receiving Yards -110
With James Robinson shipped to New York, Travis Etienne is finally getting the usage his fantasy backers have clamored for. Better late than never! Before last week, the Jaguars RB1 had received 10, 10, and 14 carries. Then last week, he got his number called a whopping 24 times and turned those carries into 156 yards and a 6.5 yard per carry average against a solid Denver defense. Provided the trip back from London doesn’t allow for fatigue to set in, Etienne is primed to go off in this smash spot against a Raiders defense serving up over 108 yards per game to opposing running backs.
But that’s not the reason why I love Etienne to go over what looks to be a much more palatable receiving yards prop. Vegas has been a goldmine for targets out of the backfield with it serving up over 9.0 per contest. The targets have been turned into an 81 percent catch rate that’s equated to 8.2 yards per reception and a trio of touchdowns. Though Etienne has only been targeted 26 times through eight games – an average of 3.25 per game – he’s turned those limited opportunities into 9.2 yards per reception which is a higher average than studs like Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, and Saquon Barkley. Look for the second-year back to play a prominent role in Jacksonville’s aerial attack on Sunday.
Rachaad White Over 17.5 Receiving Yards -110
This matchup between the Rams and Buccaneers is for all the Tostitos! The winner gets to keep its hat in the ring for a potential trip to the playoffs, while the loser has a major uphill climb ahead just to qualify. Personally, I like the Bucs. Los Angeles has been bad on a number of levels, but one thing it continues to be extremely good at is shutting opposing running games down. It’s allowing just over 105 yards per game and 4.3 yards per carry (No. 13).
Tampa Bay’s horrific run blocking finds the Bucs owners of the league’s absolute worst rushing attack. I’d be shocked if either Leonard Fournette or Rachaad White were able to surpass their respective 47.5 and 17.5 yard rushing props. Where both can excel however is catching passes out of the backfield with the Rams serving up 8.1 yards per reception and an 80 percent catch rate. I’m fading Uncle Lenny and backing the rookie in this spot due mostly to the former underperforming of late and the latter basically matching his output over the last two games. White’s seen his utilization increase during that stretch, and I could see Bowles looking to his rookie in this must-win spot so as to put a spark in an otherwise lethargic offensive attack.
