Most Home Run Futures Odds & Picks

The saying goes “Chicks dig the long ball” and the same goes for MLB bettors seeking to capitalize on the most home run futures odds at Caesars Sportsbook throughout the 2024 MLB betting season. Last year, Matt Olson emerged as the home run champion, defying the odds at 16-1, by smashing an incredible 54 home runs into the stands, contributing to the Atlanta Braves’ consecutive seasons of 100+ wins and their sixth consecutive NL East pennant. Despite his impressive performance, Aaron Judge is the current odds-on +400 favorite in the HR futures odds market, with Shohei Ohtani, Pete Alonso, and Kyle Schwarber also contending for the title of most home runs throughout the 162-game schedule. As I analyze the players, I look for both power and endurance when evaluating their chances of hitting the most home runs. Therefore, I present to you my favorite, underdog, and longshot selections who have the potential to launch a multitude of baseballs into orbit this upcoming season.

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Favorite to Bet: Pete Alonso +1100

I hitched my wagon to the Polar Bear as my favorite to back on the home run futures odds a season ago. Unfortunately, his 46 home runs fell short of Schwarber’s 47 and Olson’s impressive performance. Nonetheless, the New York Mets power hitter had another standout season, earning a spot on the All-Star team for the third time in his career and finishing 17th in MVP voting. However, his overall production dropped significantly compared to the previous year, with his batting average plummeting to .217 and his strikeout rate increasing to 22 percent.

As we enter the 2024 baseball betting season, it’s a crucial year for Pete Alonso as he approaches free agency. With five years of experience under his belt, he will undoubtedly give it his all to secure a lucrative contract over multiple seasons. I have full confidence in him! In his first five professional seasons, he has already hit an impressive 192 home runs and has maintained an average of 156.8 games played in his four healthy seasons. These numbers demonstrate both his exceptional power and durability, making him a worthy investment in this type of futures market. Let’s hope that the new coaching staff, combined with his determination to secure a long-term deal, leads to him crushing baseballs deep into the summer.

Underdog to Bet: Adolis Garcia +4500

The Texas Rangers emerged as unexpected champions of the World Series, defying the odds as 45-1 underdogs. The surprising run introduced MLB bettors to rising stars like Jonah Heim, Josh Jung, and Evan Carter. However, it was Adolis Garcia who truly stood out as the driving force behind the team’s offense, which averaged an impressive 5.5 runs per game, ranking them third in the league. The Rangers’ proficiency in hitting home runs played a significant role in their success, with the team collectively hitting 233 home runs, also placing them at third in the league. Adolis Garcia contributed greatly to this feat, smashing a career-high 39 home runs, securing him a seventh-place finish in the stat category alongside Mookie Betts.

Despite maintaining a career .244 batting average, Garcia notably improved his walk rate, slugging percentage, and OPS from the previous season. Set to nestle into the meat of the Rangers batting order, opposing pitchers won’t have the luxury of bypassing his powerful swing on a consistent basis. Garcia excels in every relevant statistical category when it comes to hitting home runs – from an impressive exit velocity to an ideal launch angle and high rate of home runs per fly ball. After going off the board 200-1 to be last year’s home run leader, Caesars initially lined him an 80-1 dog on the home run futures odds before the MLB betting market destroyed that offering. I strongly agree with that sentiment!

Longshot to Bet: Triston Casas +12500

Although I greatly prefer the initial 180-1 MLB home run odds set upon the Boston Red Sox first baseman, it will not deter me from investing some beer money in Triston Casas as he embarks on his second full season in professional baseball. This guy possesses remarkable country boy power that MLB bettors witnessed every 17.9 at-bats, resulting in 4.8 percent of his plate appearances culminating in home runs that left fans in the stands with souvenirs. In the latter half of his rookie year, he boasted a .317 batting average and smacked 15 homers. It is safe to assume that he will clear the fences at least 30 times this season, representing a 25 percent surge in his home run production. Furthermore, considering his prior experience enduring the grueling 162-game schedule, there is a strong possibility that this 24-year-old phenom will make a significant leap and find himself in contention for the title of Home Run King.

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