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Coming off their first loss of the season the San Francisco 49ers look to rebound when they head to Minnesota to grapple with the Vikings in the Week 7 edition of Monday Night Football. The Niners had been on a roll winning 15 straight regular season games before dropping a 19-17 decision at Cleveland last week where they closed as a 9.5-point favorite at BetRivers sportsbook. Welp, you can’t win em all, I guess, and the Niners will look to get back in the win column while hoping Brock Purdy hasn’t topped out.
Linemakers think last week was fluke positioning the visitors as a 7-point favorite on the NFL betting line. And the Niners have been money when laying seven or more points with payouts in eight of their last nine such games. There is a plethora of wagering options for primetime games and one featuring arguably the best team in the NFL has a lot on the line. Same game parlays are a one-stop betting option so let’s take a look at where money can be won in this MNF matchup.
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It had to happen eventually and last week was it. The Niners were upset and Purdy had the worst game of his brief career going 12 of 27 for 125 yards with his first interception of the season. He was going against one of the better defenses in the NFL with a front that can bring pressure, and the Browns had success. It didn’t help Purdy that both Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel exited with injuries. It appears as though they escaped major issues and there’s a chance both are back in the lineup on Monday giving the Niners the added oomph to score points.
Oh, and Minnesota’s defense isn’t anywhere close to being as menacing as the Browns. Opposing quarterbacks complete more than 75 percent of their passes against the Vikings with a QB rating of 100.5. And guess what? Purdy completes almost 68 percent of his passes and has the second-best QB rating in the NFL at 111.9. One thing the Niners failed to do last week was get George Kittle involved. The Pro Bowl tight end was targeted only twice with one catch. I’m sure Kyle Shanahan will devise a game plan with more Kittle and if McCaffrey isn’t 100 percent the run game will be impacted. So that has me looking at the OVER on Purdy’s passing yards, which is a modest 235.5.
The past two meetings between the teams resulted in San Francisco wins by more than seven points, though both of them took place in the Bay Area. Still, it’s hard to argue against SF in this matchup. The Niners nearly won last week despite the offense taking a later flight to Cleveland. And you could say they should’ve won the game if not for two missed field goals. The Niners boast the NFL best scoring defense and rank third in yards allowed with the Vikings struggling to do much of anything with an offense that ranks in the middle of the pack in scoring and total yards. It’s not a good strategy to back a road team laying a touchdown, but in this case I’m making an exception.
The third leg of my same game parlay has to do with the Vikings offense. The loss of Justin Jefferson severely impacted the passing game and playing their first game without their leading receiver the Vikings managed just 174 yards through the air and 220 total yards against Chicago. This isn’t the Monsters of the Midway Bears we’re talking about rather a group that allowed more than 31 points per game entering last week’s contest. A defensive touchdown proved to be the difference in Minnesota’s 19-13 win.
The inability to run the football puts added pressure on Kirk Cousins and the passing game. And I don’t feel as though he’s up to the challenge against a solid Niners’ stop unit. Therefore I have to back the UNDER on the Vikings’ point total of 18.5. They went over that number – barely – against a weak Chicago defense and needed a fumble return touchdown to do so. I do think the Niners will cover the spread but the Vikings will be pumped to face one of the top teams in the NFL at home. And that leads me to a fourth NFL wager on my same-game parlay backing the visitors with a winning margin of between 7-12 points.
San Francisco (-7)
Brock Purdy OVER 235.5 Passing Yards
Minnesota UNDER 18.5 Points
San Francisco Winning Margin 7-12 Points
Bet $100 to Win $2000 On This MNF Same Game Parlay at BetRivers.
