MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, May 2

Last week was one we’d rather forget in a hurry. Last Thursday’s parlay picks resulted in a mixed bag of outcomes, with some legs coming through while others fell short. We managed to secure a win on the Brewers moneyline, no thanks in part to Freddy Peralta’s performance, which amounted to his worst showing of the season. However, our luck took a turn for the worse when Triston McKenzie didn’t meet his earned run prop despite giving up six hits and issuing two walks. In the final matchup, the Mariners, led by Luis Castillo, clinched a 4-3 victory over the Rangers, but their failure to draw a single walk allowed the opposing pitcher, Andrew Heaney, to pitch deeper into the game than anticipated. Despite last week’s setbacks, we’re aiming to boost our profits at Caesars Sportsbook with another set of parlay picks for Thursday’s limited baseball betting action – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins

The final game of the series between the Rockies (-$912) and Marlins (-$1535) is sure to attract a swarm of MLB bettors, each with their own unique angle on how to approach the game. I say this with a hint of humor, but it’s a safe bet that Caesars will see a flurry of action, particularly on the starting pitchers and their walk props. Believe it or not, Dakota Hudson has been allowing an astonishing 5.5 walks per nine innings, and he heads into his sixth start of the season after giving up four walks to the Padres in just 3.1 innings of play. On the other hand, Edward Cabrera has also been generous in the walks department, averaging 3.5 per nine innings. However, this is nearly two walks less than his career average of 5.2 per nine innings.

The inability of each starting pitcher to avoid issuing free passes will cause oddsmakers to quickly adjust the lines and add corresponding odds favoring the over for each pitcher’s total walks allowed props. Despite this, I’m going against the prevailing trends and predicting that both pitchers will actually come in under their expected walk totals. This is largely due to the ineffectiveness of both teams’ offenses in drawing walks. Colorado ranks 27th in walk rate, with a mere 7.4%, which drops even lower to 6.7% when they’re away from Coors Field. Meanwhile, Miami ranks dead last in the league in walks, with a pedestrian 6.5% walk rate. Although this rate slightly improves to 7.4% when they play at home, their recent performance is concerning, with only 12 walks accrued in their last five games, averaging fewer than 2.5 per game. Hopefully, we’ll benefit from an umpire with a liberal strike zone, and this unconventional parlay will result in a profitable return at favorable odds!

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: DAKOTA HUDSON UNDER WALKS ALLOWED + EDWARD CABRERA UNDER WALKS ALLOWED

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

The Cubs staged a remarkable comeback in the series opener against the Mets, overcoming a no-hit situation through seven-plus innings to snatch victory in the ninth inning courtesy of Christopher Morel’s two-run homer off Edwin Diaz. Despite it being only April, the game carried a playoff-like intensity from start to finish, making the win even sweeter for Chicago, propelling them to the top of the NL Central standings. As they prepare for a crucial series against Milwaukee starting Friday afternoon in Chicago, I anticipate the Cubs will take the field with a determined mindset, aiming to secure the series win behind the pitching prowess of Ben Brown and carry that momentum back home. While Brown’s innings have been limited in his first three starts, I believe this start presents an opportunity for him to pitch deeper into the game, especially against a struggling Mets’ offense that’s averaged 1.8 runs over their last eight outings.

Despite the absences of Seiya Suzuki and Cody Bellinger due to injury, Chicago’s averaged 4.0 runs per game and posted a 5-2 record over the last week. I expect a healthy run tally to be notched in this one, especially considering the familiar opponent in Adrian Houser, who has struggled significantly in his five starts for the Mets, surrendering 29 hits and 22 earned runs with a 14:16 K/BB ratio across 23.2 innings. The righty owns a sickening 0.88 K/BB ratio! Although the Cubs have displayed a propensity for strikeouts with a 23.1% K rate, their 9.3% walk rate ranks 10th in the league. Moreover, several current Chicago hitters have faced Houser in the past, giving them valuable insight into his pitching. Look for Counsell’s troops to close the roady out with a dub and Raise the W!

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: CUBS MONEYLINE + CUBS OVER TEAM TOTAL + HOUSER UNDER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED

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