Last Thursdays MLB Same Game Parlay Picks ended up 2-1 over at BetRivers Sportsbook to take home a nice profit. We kicked the day off by nailing all three legs in Toronto where the Blue Jays and Brew Crew cashed the F5 under and both Peralta and Gausman exceeded their pitching out props. The Padres would explode for 10 runs to take the series from the Marlins to cash an easy moneyline ticket. Thankfully the eruption occurred after the fifth which allowed us to cash the second leg of the parlay on the F5 under. Try as he did, Hunter Greene was up against it in the finale at Boston with the Reds looking to bust out the brooms. We ended up cashing our series ticket on Cincy but not the SGP. A larger slate is there to dissect this Thursday, so lets see if we cant bang out a few more same game parlay winners – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers
An interesting pitching matchup is set to go down in the finale between the Os and Brew Crew with Kyle Bradish set to square off against Colin Rea. Neither hurler does anything that jumps off the page from an analytics perspective. The former has given up a ton of hard contact (No. 169) which paints a picture as to why he only owns an 11.3 percent swinging strike percentage (No 113). The latter has only allowed 42 hits through 47.1 IP, but is giving up 1.7 HR/9 innings while getting hit hard (No. 264) while failing to register called (No. 216) or swinging strikes (No. 253).
Rea got out to a great start for under bettors with it coming in four of five times, but the over has cashed tickets in four of his last five outings with three coming in the supposed comforts of Miller Park. After dealing with Peralta and Burnes the first two games, Rea is going to have his hands full with a determined Adley Rutschman and co. enough to the point that well back the visitors and look for them to dent the scoreboard both early and late.
SAME GAME MLB PARLAY: ORIOLES MONEYLINE + ORIOLES OVER TEAM TOTAL
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
A fantastic pitching matchup will close the extended four game series out between the Astros and Blue Jays when Framber Valdez and Jose Berrios lock horns. The former is locked in at the moment having only conceded 1 ER over his last 22 innings of work, and enters this tilt off coming through for us last Friday night when he tossed seven shutout innings at Shohei Ohtani and the Angels. But before that, it was the Little League As he took advantage of limiting Oakland to just eight hits and 1 ER with a 12:3 K/BB ratio over 15 combined innings. Ill be interested to see if the southpaw can mimic those feats in this one against a Toronto offense that rakes against the sinker and curve per Baseball Savant, but has been less lethal versus LHP (No. 20). If unable to continue excelling with the cutter, Framber will be in trouble regardless of owning the second-best groundball percentage in the game (63.6).
Not to be outdone, Berrios has been lights out coming just two outs away from firing off six straight quality efforts last tossing six innings of 1 ER ball at the Mets. While proving to be much more hittable at night (4.33 ERA) than during the day (1.56 ERA), the righty has been at his absolute best at home where hes allowed 20 hits and 6 ER with a 26:5 K/BB ratio through 24.1 IP. Houstons also been much tougher on lefties (5.5 RPG) than righties (4.2 RPG), and he already limited Yordan Alvarez and his mates to three hits and 2 ER at “The Juice Box” back on April 19. I think this heavyweight pitching matchup lives up to expectations which has the scoreboard operators twiddling their thumbs looking for something to do.
SAME GAME MLB PARLAY: FULL GAME UNDER + ASTROS UNDER TEAM TOTAL + BERRIOS OVER PITCHING OUTS
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
Im of the belief the BoSox go into Progressive and take the series from the Guardians against the MLB odds. I got the finale pegged as the one that brings home the bacon with Garrett Whitlock set to square off against Aaron Civale with this being the formers third start back from injury and only the latters second. Bostons righty finally catches a break running up against weak-hitting Cleveland after throwing at the Dbacks and Rays in his two prior starts. Still, he only conceded nine hits (1 HR) and racked up a 9:2 K/BB ratio in his 9.2 combined innings and will now stare back at the Guardians who own a .639 OPS against RHP while averaging a pedestrian 3.4 runs per game (No. 30).
Civale ran up against the injury-riddled Twins in his first start in nearly two months and lived to tell about it. Regardless, hell face a much stiffer test in this matchup against the Red Sox with Rafael Devers and his mates peppering right-handed pitching to the tune of a .761 OPS (No. 5) while averaging a healthy 5.0 runs per game (No. 5). Cleveland proving to be unable to protect its own house sitting three-games under .500 and down nearly $400 for MLB bettors seals the deal for me!
SAME GAME MLB PARLAY: RED SOX MONEYLINE + RED SOX OVER TEAM TOTAL