MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, July 6

Last Thursday’s MLB Same Game Parlay Picks ended up 0-1 over at BetRivers Sportsbook due to weather and pitching changes mucking up the day. Our lone SGP would’ve cashed with the Marlins scoring the 2-0 win and Jesus Luzardo going over his K prop, but Brayan Bello spoiled the night by going over his pitching outs prop. You did however take home some green if you wagered on everything individually with Miami the Best Bet of the trio. Let’s see if we can’t bang out a few more same game parlay winners on Thursday’s slate – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals

Mackenzie Gore has gotten progressively worse since the first month of the baseball betting season, and I don’t expect his misfortune to conclude in this spot against a white hot Cincinnati Reds outfit looking to bank as many wins possible before the All-Star break. After opening some eyes in April with a 3.00 ERA, Gore saw his ERA jump to 4.06 for the month of May and then 4.55 in June. After getting ripped for six hits (1 HR) and 7 ER with three walks in just 2.2 innings against the Phillies in his last start, the ERA is all the way up to 4.48 with no end in sight for the incline. Worse at home (4.75 ERA) than on the road (4.30 ERA), things don’t look great for him in this day spot where his ERA clocks in at a season-worst 5.19. All said, the Reds likely won’t run away and hide in this one with Brandon Williamson and his 5.56 ERA and 8.9 hits allowed per nine taking the bump for the tenth time. The lefty is only averaging 1.89 K/BB, and the Nats average 4.3 runs per game versus southpaws of whom they own a .765 OPS against (No. 6). Hopefully both pens have been extinguished to allow the finale of this extended four-game series to be of the higher scoring variety!

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: FULL GAME OVER + REDS OVER TEAM TOTAL + NATIONALS OVER TEAM TOTAL

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Kyle Bradish has been nothing short of a savior for the Orioles starting staff with the right-hander scheduled to toe the Yankee Stadium bump 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 43 percent of his outings clocking in as quality starts. You can’t ask for much more from a backend of the rotation arm than what Bradish has brought to the hill every fifth day! Having already run up against the Pinstripes once this season in the Bronx, he’ll know exactly what to expect the second time around. Only this time, he’ll get the added advantage of not being forced to throw at Aaron Judge. Owning nearly identical platoon splits for the year, he should be able to excel against NY’s lefty/righty lineup. While the O’s are dealing with some bothersome injuries within the batting lineup (Mountcastle/Hays), I don’t think it will matter much in the grand scheme of things running up against Luis Severino who is undoubtedly a shell of his former self. The right-hander has shown zero consistency through eight starts save for his 6.30 ERA being almost directly in-line with his 6.34 FIP; neither outputs are good. Though he’s owned Baltimore throughout his career in going 7-1 with a 3.39 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and .200 BAA, he hasn’t opposed this year’s version of the Orioles yet and he owns a 9+ ERA under the lights through four starts.

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: ORIOLES MONEYLINE + ORIOLES OVER TEAM TOTAL + SEVERINO UNDER PITCHING OUTS

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Though the 4th of July wrapped a few days back, I’m expecting some spillover fireworks to get set off tonight when the Mets and Diamondbacks conclude their series in the desert. Carlos Carrasco is no longer the dominant right-hander he once was evidenced by his bloated 5.94 ERA while serving up just under 10 hits per nine with an average of 2.0 long balls conceded per start. Arizona has punished right-handed pitching from the word go, and will likely do so again regardless of “Cookie” being much more productive on the road (4.91 ERA) than at home (7.23 ERA). That however won’t be the death knell for Pete Alonso and co. who stands to hang a crooked number themselves running up against Ryne Nelson and his 4.67 ERA which swells to 7.09 when throwing in the not so comfy confines of Chase Field. Though the right-hander has looked solid in back-to-back starts against the Giants and Angels in allowing only six hits and 2 ER with a solid 12:3 K/BB ratio, I’m not buying it! He’s not generating any swing and misses and is an extreme fly ball pitcher. Not a good recipe running up against a Mets offense that rakes RHP for 4.9 runs per game (No. 7) and owns a .812 OPS (No. 8) over the last week.

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: FULL GAME OVER + METS OVER TEAM TOTAL + DBACKS OVER TEAM TOTAL

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