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The Jacksonville Jaguars are gearing up for the upcoming season with high hopes and aspirations after pulling out one of the most dramatic turnarounds in franchise history to win the AFC South title for only the second time in franchise history. After a promising performance that saw the team cover the NFL odds in eight of its final 11 games to exceed expectations and punch a ticket to the playoffs, the Jaguars are looking to build on that success and make an even deeper run throughout the 2023-24 NFL betting season. In this article, we will delve into the season win total odds, betting tips, and predictions for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Fluke 1-Year Wonder or Division Dominator?
Before we dive into the future, let’s take a moment to reflect on the Jaguars’ performance in the previous season. The team started off with a disappointing 3-7 record (3-6-1 ATS), which painted another picture of a lackluster season for the folks in Duval County. However, despite their record, the Jaguars showed signs of improvement and played much better than their results indicated with new head coach Doug Pederson overlooking their every move. In fact, based on 4th quarter win probabilities, they were the biggest underperforming team in the league and should have finished with around six wins. Of those seven defeats, six ended up coming by a one-score margin. The Week 11 bye ended up coming at a perfect time evidenced by the Jags going on to win six of their final seven regular-season games to ultimately clinch the AFC South title. Trevor Lawrence played like a man possessed ultimately showcasing his potential and played like the franchise quarterback he was drafted to be. In the playoffs, the Jaguars secured a miraculous comeback victory over the Chargers in the Wild Card round but fell short against the Chiefs in the Divisional round.
Bet the Jacksonville Jaguars Season Win Total at PointsBet Sportsbook
Jacksonville Jaguars Season Wins Total: 9.5
PointsBet Sportsbook currently has the Jags season win total odds locked in at 9.5 with heavy -155 vig attached to the over. Last season must’ve really made an impression on those setting the lines considering Jacksonville went off the board with a 6.5-game win total, and entered 2022-23 having cashed under tickets four straight seasons with 3.8 wins logged on average. You have to go all the way back to the 2000 season to find the last time the Jaguars were tagged with a win total in this neighborhood.
Case for the Over
For bettors considering the over on the Jaguars’ season win total, there are several factors to consider. Firstly, the team showed significant improvement last season, winning six more games than the previous year. This positive trajectory, coupled with the continued development of Trevor Lawrence, suggests that the Jaguars have the potential to exceed expectations once again. Additionally, the AFC South division remains relatively weak, with the Jaguars having the opportunity to capitalize on favorable matchups against divisional rivals.
Furthermore, the Jaguars made some notable additions to their roster, including dynamic wide receiver Calvin Ridley. Ridley, coming off a one-year suspension, has the potential to elevate the Jaguars’ receiving corps and provide Lawrence with another reliable target. Alongside players like Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram, Ridley’s presence strengthens the team’s offensive firepower. While the offensive line remains a concern, the Jaguars have the firepower to overcome and become one of the more lethal offensive units in the league.
Case for the Under
On the other hand, bettors considering the under of the Jaguars’ season win total should take into account certain factors. Despite their success in the previous season, it’s important to remember that the Jaguars exceeded expectations by winning six more games than the prior year. Historically, teams that experience such significant improvements often regress in the following season. The lack of significant additions to the roster during the offseason raises questions about the team’s ability to sustain their success.
Additionally, concerns surrounding the offensive line and the overall depth of the team’s defense pose potential challenges for the Jaguars. The loss of starting right tackle Jawaan Taylor to free agency and the suspension of left tackle Cam Robinson for the first four games create vulnerabilities in the offensive line. Defensively, while the Jaguars have promising young talent in edge rushers Josh Allen and Travon Walker, the lack of depth and the underperforming secondary may hinder their ability to consistently shut down opposing offenses. After cashing under tickets at a 10-9 clip last season, there could be some positive regression to the over in year two of Pederson’s regime.
Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule
Week 1: at Colts
Week 2: vs. Chiefs
Week 3: vs. Texans
Week 4: vs. Falcons (London)
Week 5: at Bills (London)
Week 6: vs. Colts
Week 7: at Saints (TNF)
Week 8: at Steelers
Week 9: Bye Week
Week 10: vs. 49ers
Week 11: vs. Titans
Week 12: at Texans
Week 13: vs. Bengals (MNF)
Week 14: at Browns
Week 15: vs. Ravens (SNF)
Week 16: at Buccaneers
Week 17: vs. Panthers
Week 18: at Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars Season Win Total Analysis
As the Jacksonville Jaguars prepare for the upcoming season, there are both reasons for optimism and areas of concern. The team’s performance in the previous season, coupled with the development of quarterback Trevor Lawrence, suggests that they have the potential to exceed expectations once again. However, concerns surrounding the offensive line and the depth of the defense and little improvement made within the secondary raise questions about their ability to sustain success. When considering the Jaguars’ schedule for the upcoming season, it’s important to note that they will be playing two consecutive games in London, a first for any NFL team. Overall, the schedule appears to be more challenging compared to the previous season, as the Jaguars will be facing a first-place schedule that Sharp Football Analysis currently has rated as the twelfth
easiest but fourth toughest in the division. I personally don’t think the road to a second straight AFC South title is as easy as the Jags current -175 price tag to win the division suggests. Nine to 10 wins is the high in my opinion, so I’ll take a preseason stab at the plus-money return with the under.
Jacksonville Jaguars Season Win Total Prediction: Under 9.5 +130
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