Leigh Wood vs. Josh Warrington Picks, Predictions, and Odds
October 4, 2023
Sanderson Farms Championship Matchup Picks
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Our college football parlay best bets continue to perform well even though we suffered our first loss in three weeks last Saturday. After hitting all of our plays in Week 3 and Week 4, we were on the wrong side of the LSU – Ole Miss shootout on Saturday night in Oxford. The Tigers allowed over 700 total yards of offense and lost even though they outscored the Rebels 35-13 in the second and third quarter.
We were on the right side of the other two games we picked last week. After an early scare, Texas Tech took it to Houston in Lubbock with the Red Raiders beating the Cougars by three touchdowns. Houston didn’t score a point after halftime resulting in an easy cover of the college football betting line. The Under in the California – Arizona State game ended up hitting too as the Golden Bears and Sun Devils scored just 45 points.
College Football Week 6 Betting Odds at BetRivers Sportsbook and Caesars Sportsbook
North Carolina State -6.5 vs. Marshall
It’s been a rough year for North Carolina State to this point. The Wolfpack are 3-2, and they have really struggled with Virginia and Louisville the last two weeks. They have missed Devin Leary who transferred to Kentucky in the offseason, as Virginia transfer Brennan Armstrong has not performed well in this offense.
Head coach Dave Doeren had planned to redshirt MJ Morris this season after he played in five games as a true freshman in 2022, but he announced that Morris will be the starter going forward. Morris was excellent in place of Leary in starts against Virginia Tech and Wake Forest last season, and his mobility is an asset to this offense too. That should make them more potent against unbeaten Marshall this week.
The Thundering Herd might be unbeaten, but their wins over FCS Albany, Virginia Tech, and Old Dominion were each by just one score at home. This is their toughest test so far this year, and they will have trouble matching up with a team as well-coached as NC State under Doeren. Marshall QB Cam Fancher is not a big play threat in the passing game, and the Thundering Herd have the worst run defense in the country. They are allowing 6.8 YPC so far this season, so the Wolfpack should be able to cover the CFB betting line.
Florida vs. Vanderbilt Under 51.5
Although five of the last six games in this series have seen 55 or more points scored, the Under is the right side here. Florida is not dynamic on offense under Billy Napier as this is a run-heavy team. Graham Mertz has been the definition of a system quarterback as the Gators don’t want to ask him to do too much in this system, so we won’t see Florida do too much on offense in this game.
On the other side of the ball, expect a much better performance from Florida’s front seven. The Gators had major issues with their run fits against Kentucky last week, and that is something that will be worked out before this game. The Commodores don’t have the same kind of athletes up front as the Wildcats, so it should be much easier for the Gators to stop a ground game that is averaging just 2.7 YPC.
Virginia Tech +24 at Florida State
Florida State is coming off a bye week following a big win over rival Clemson two weeks ago. The Seminoles are getting a little too much love from the oddsmakers though as the football betting odds should probably be 3-4 points lower for this game. While FSU is a very good team, the Seminoles have some deficiencies along the offensive line and in the secondary, and that will allow the Hokies to keep this game within the number.
Virginia Tech is coming off its best offensive performance of the season last week against Pittsburgh. Kyron Drones completed 12 of 19 passes for 228 yards and three touchdowns, and the ground game ran it 59 times for 199 yards and two scores as the Hokies dominated time of possession. They will look to follow that same blueprint against the Seminoles.
