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A strong field is assembled for the fourth Signature Event of the season, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which begins on Thursday in Florida. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is listed as the favorite, with odds of +600 at Caesars. World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is the second choice in golf betting odds at +900. Eight of the world’s top ten ranked players are in the field. Big name players like Scheffler and McIlroy have won this event in the past, but big longshots have also won, as Kurt Kitayama won last year and Matt Every won in 2014 and 2015. Let’s look at Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and picks.
Check out the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds at Caesars.
Venue: Bay Hill is a par 72 that measures 7,381 yards. It is considered one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour. It is a long course where driving is very important; both distance and accuracy.
Last Year: Kirk Kitayama
TV Coverage: NBC and Golf Channel
Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds
Scottie Scheffler +600
Rory McIlroy +900
Viktor Hovland +1200
Xander Schauffele +1400
Patrick Cantlay +1600
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Max Homa +2200
Jordan Spieth +2200
Sam Burns +2200
Justin Thomas +2500
Collin Morikawa +2500
Will Zalatoris +2800
Matt Fitzpatrick +2800
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Cameron Young +3000
Jason Day +4000
Chris Kirk +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Tom Kim +4500
Keegan Bradley +4500
Corey Conners +4500
Sungjae Im +5000
Hideki Matsuyama +5500
Jake Knapp +5500
Wyndham Clark +5500
Min Woo Lee +5500
Harris English +5500
Kurt Kitayama +6000
Sahith Theegala +6500
Russell Henley +7000
Byeong Hun An +7000
Stephan Jaeger +7500
J.T. Poston +7500
Matthieu Pavon +8000
Nicolai Hojgaard +8000
Eric Cole +8000
Luke List +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Erik van Rooyen +9000
Emiliano Grillo +9000
Adam Hadwin +9000
Shane Lowry +9000
All other players are listed with odds of +10000 or more
Favorite
Scottie Scheffler +600
I sound like a broken record, but yet another golf betting favorite failed to win last week. McIlroy finally showed up with a good round on Sunday but it was too late. Scheffler is definitely capable of winning any time he plays and I am a big fan of his, but I am simply not taking favorites in golf betting right now. And that even applies to Scheffler who is a previous winner in this event and the best golfer in the world.
Golf Picks
Rory McIlroy +900
I didn’t go with McIlroy last week because he was the favorite, but this week he is not. Rory ranks first on the PGA Tour in total driving and winners at Bay Hill have to drive the ball well. Rory is 6th on the PGA Tour in distance and he is 35th in accuracy. Rory has been excellent in this event, never finishing worse than a tie for 27th in nine career starts. He has five top 10 finishes including a win in 2018. I think he will have a chance to win this week and we get 9-1.
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Aberg is getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers and when you look at the skills of Aberg it makes some sense. He is very strong in total driving and he is good in strokes gained: tee-to-green. Aberg also does well in proximity from 200 yards plus and that is a key stat this week. I think he will be in the mix this week and get 20-1.
Sam Burns +2200
Burns is another player who ranks really well in terms of driving. He is 12th on the PGA Tour in total driving. We know that Burns can compete and beat the best players in the world and I expect him to contend this week.
Jordan Spieth +2200
Spieth has not always played in this event but in 2021 he tied for 4th in his first try and he tied for 4th last year. He has been a bit up and down so far this season, but he has looked better putting the ball this year. He also has been really good in GIR, ranking second on the PGA Tour. I think he will be in contention this week.
Keegan Bradley +4500
I’ll throw a longshot in here and take Bradley. He has two wins since 2022 and he finished 2nd at the Sony Open earlier this year. He can be inconsistent, but he has played well in this event with four top 10 finishes. He ranks 11th on the PGA Tour in proximity from 200+ yards and we know that stat is key this week. I’ll take Bradley at big odds.
Check out the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds at Caesars.
