The Chicago Bears visit the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football on ESPN. The Bears are 2-4 SU and 2-3-1 ATS, while the Patriots are 3-3 SU and 3-2-1 ATS. The public is backing the Patriots in this game, as New England opened as a 7-point favorite and the line is up to 8. The Bears have not looked good this season and they are fortunate just to have two wins. Chicago’s offense has struggled with Justin Fields at quarterback and new head coach Matt Eberflus looks in over his head. On the other side, the Patriots have rallied behind third string quarterback Bailey Zappe to win their last two games. Zappe has played far better than starter Mac Jones or backup Brian Hoyer so it will be interesting to see what head coach Bill Belichick does this week, as Jones is reportedly healthy again. Let’s look at Monday Night Football picks.

Chicago Bears at New England Patriots

Date and Time: Monday, October 24, 2022 at 8:15 PM EST

Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

TV Coverage: ESPN

BetMaker previews the upcoming matchup and gives a prediction for Monday night.

Chicago Bears at New England Patriots NFL Picks

This could be a battle of the running games, as the Bears have the second-best rushing attack in the league, averaging 170.8 yards per game. The Patriots are averaging 131.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 10th. The Patriots have been decent throwing the ball, as they are 10^th in the league, but the Bears have been awful, rankings last in the league.

The Bears are allowing 19.7 points per game which is 11^th in the league, while the Patriots are allowing 18.8 points per game which is 7^th. The Bears have the third-best passing defense allowing 178.7 passing yards per game but they are 29^th against the run, giving up 163 yard per game. The Patriots are allowing 218.8 yards through the air which is 14^th in the league and they are giving up 119 rushing yards per game which is 17^th.

NFL Week 7 Betting Odds

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Chicago Bears +8

New England Patriots -8

Over/Under: 39.5 points

The line on this game has been moving toward New England since it opened. Most places opened this line at 7 and the line quickly shot up to 7.5 and it is now 8. The total has actually gone up, as it opened 38.5 and is up to 39.5 and there are now some 40’s on the board.

The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Patriots. The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October. The Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Patriots are 48-20-2 ATS in their last 70 games in October. The Patriots are 35-17 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

The Under is 11-2 in the Bears last 13 games in October. The Under is 6-2 in the Bears last 8 Monday games. The Over is 7-1 in the Patriots last 8 home games. The Under is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 Monday games. The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series.

Chicago Bears at New England Patriots NFL Free Pick

I definitely can’t take the Bears, as they are a messed up team right now with no clue how to move the ball offensively. I also don’t want to lay more than a touchdown with a New England offense that has been hit and miss. I am surprised the total on this game is going up, as I think it is a low scoring contest. The Bears have been solid on defense all season and New England has a high ranking on defense. There is also a very good chance of rain in the forecast for Monday night. I can’t see either of these two offenses doing a lot and I expect a lot of running in this game. I’ll go under the total.

The Pick: Under 39.5

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