WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Picks

By Tom Wilkinson

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler will attempt to defend his title at the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play event this week. Eight of the world’s top-nine players will be in the field with only Justin Thomas deciding to bypass the tournament. A number of players seem to thrive in match play, including Kevin Kisner who has a win and two runner-up finishes in the last four WGC match play events. Scheffler is listed as the golf betting favorite at BetRivers at odds of +800. Jon Rahm is the second choice in the betting odds at +1100. The other two players listed at less than +2000 are Rory McIlroy and Patrick Cantlay, at odds of +1200 and +1600 respectively. Action on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will be round-robin group play with 16 four-man groups. After group play, it is all about single elimination, with two rounds apiece played on Saturday and Sunday to determine the champion. Let’s look at WGC Dell Technologies Match Play picks.


Venue: Austin Country Club is a par 71 that measures 7,108 yards. This will be the seventh time that Austin Country Club will be hosting the WGC-Match Pay event.


Last Year: Scottie Scheffler defeated Kevin Kisner 4 and 3 to win last year’s event. The final was never in doubt, as Scheffler was up by three after six holes and never looked book. Corey Conners defeated Dustin Johnson in the consolation match.


TV Coverage: NBC & Golf Channel


Valspar Championship Odds

Scheffler, Scottie +800

Rahm, Jon +1100

McIlroy, Rory +1200

Cantlay, Patrick +1600

Spieth, Jordan +2000

Homa, Max +2000

Hovland, Viktor +2200

Schauffele, Xander +2200

Morikawa, Collin +2200

Finau, Tony +2500

Hatton, Tyrrell +2800

Day, Jason +3300

Sungjae Im +3300

Zalatoris, Will +3300

Burns, Sam +3500

Young, Cameron +4000

Fitzpatrick, Matthew +4500

Fleetwood, Tommy +4500

Tom Kim +4500

Matsuyama, Hideki +5000

Lowry, Shane +5000

Mitchell, Keith +5000

Conners, Corey +5500

Bradley, Keegan +5500

Fowler, Rickie +6000

Theegala, Sahith +6600

Hoge, Tom +6600

Kirk, Chris +8000

Si Woo Kim +8000

Montgomery, Taylor +8000

Hadwin, Adam +9000

Min Woo Lee +9000

Kitayama, Kurt +9000

Kuchar, Matt +9000

McCarthy, Denny +9000

Horschel, Billy +9000

All other players are listed with odds of +10000 or more



Scottie Scheffler +800


The favorite in golf betting has been a losing proposition over the years and it was no different last week when Justin Thomas flopped. If I was ever going to bet a favorite it might be this week, as there is no player who I would rather have right now than Scheffler, but I am still not betting him, simply because he has been cast in the role of the favorite.


Value Picks


Rahm, Jon +1100


Rahm is usually cast in the role of the favorite, but that is not the case this week, so that means he has value. Since this is a match play event you don’t get penalized harshly for mistakes. It is all about making birdies and guess who leads the PGA Tour in Birdies or Better Gained? That is right, it is Rahm. It also helps our cause that Rahm is 3rd in Strokes Gained: Putting Bermudagrass. It would not be a surprised to see Rahm challenge for the title this year.


Cantlay, Patrick +1600


Shots Gained: Off the Tee is a big category this week and the PGA Tour leader in this category is Patrick Cantlay. He should be able put himself in good position to make a lot of birdies. It should be noted, that Scheffler is right behind Cantlay in this category, but as I noted earlier, golf betting favorites don’t win often enough to make them profitable. I’ll take a shot with Cantlay.


Mitchell, Keith +5000


The player who ranks third in Shots Gained: Off the Tee is Mitchell. He has been on leaderboards a lot this year so he won’t be afraid of the pressure and we get some attractive odds. Mitchell also is 5th on the PGA Tour in Birdie or Better Gained. Mitchell is listed at odds of 50-1 and I think he could be in the mix this week.


Conners, Corey +5500


We know that Conners plays well in this event, as he finished third last year and he ranks highly on Strokes Gained: Pete Dye Designs. Conners is second on the PGA Tour in that category and we get a big number on Conners this week.


Hoge, Tom +6600


Do you know who leads the PGA Tour in Shots Gained: Approach? Yes, it is Hoge and he has a lot of value this week. How often do you get a player at big odds who leads a key category? The greens at Austin CC are smaller than Tour average and Hoge should be able to take advantage.


Check out the latest WGC Dell Technologies odds at BetRivers.