Wells Fargo Championship Picks

Sportsbook

Rory McIlroy is listed as the favorite to win this week’s Wells Fargo Championship. McIlroy is the defending champion but it should be noted that this year’s event takes place at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm instead of the normal location of Quail Hollow because the Presidents Cup is at Quail Hollow later this year. McIlroy is getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers, as he is listed at odds of +750. No other player is listed with odds or less than +2100. Let’s look at Wells Fargo Championship picks

Venue: This event takes place at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm which is a par 70 that measures 7,160 yards. The last time TPC Potomac hosted a PGA Tour event was in 2018. The course features bentgrass fairways and greens and it should favor players who are accurate off the tee.

Last Year: Rory McIlroy won last year’s event for his first PGA Tour win in a year and half. He finished one shot ahead of Abraham Ancer. It was the third win for McIlroy at Quail Hollow but it wasn’t easy, as he had to hold off Ancer who shot a 5-under 66 on Sunday. Viktor Hovland and Keith Mitchell finished in a tie for third, while Gary Woodland finished in fifth place.

TV Coverage: CBS and Golf Channel

Wells Fargo Championship Odds

Rory McIlroy +750

Tony Finau +2100

Matthew Fitzpatrick +2100

Corey Conners +2100

Tyrrell Hatton +2800

Abraham Ancer +3200

Gary Woodland +3600

Marc Leishman +3600

Patrick Reed +3700

Keegan Bradley +3700

Russell Henley +3700

Paul Casey +4100

Seamus Power +4800

Si Woo Kim +4800

Max Homa +4800

Webb Simpson +4800

Jason Day +5000

Sergio Garcia +5000

Cameron Young +5000

Jhonattan Vegas +5500

Matt Kuchar +5500

Keith Mitchell +5500

Brian Harman +6500

Davis Riley +6500

Aaron Rai +7000

Kevin Streelman +7000

Matt Jones +7000

Doug Ghim +7000

Matthew NeSmith +7000

Brendan Steele +7000

Sepp Straka +7000

Dylan Frittelli +7500

Troy Merritt +7500

Joel Dahmen +7500

Francesco Molinari +7500

Anirban Lahiri +7500

C.T. Pan +7500

Brandon Wu +8500

Denny McCarthy +9000

David Lipsky +9000

Nate Lashley +9000

Russell Knox +9000

Rickie Fowler +9000

Stewart Cink +9000

Cameron Davis +9000

Lanto Griffin +9000

Kurt Kitayama +9000

Alex Smalley +9000

Luke List +9000

All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more

Favorite

Rory McIlroy +750

A golf betting favorite actually won last week, as Jon Rahm won in Spain. I said last week that Rahm was the clear favorite in a relatively weak field, but his odds were so low that there still wasn’t much value in taking him. It is somewhat similar this week with McIlroy in terms of the odds, as he is the clear betting favorite, but I don’t think he has nearly the chance of winning that Rahm had last week. I am definitely looking elsewhere this week.

Value Picks

Matthew Fitzpatrick +2100

I said in the European Tour preview that I was going to stick with Adri Arnaus and he delivered last week with his first win. I think Fitzpatrick fits into the same category on the PGA Tour, as he is overdue for his first PGA Tour win. This should be the perfect venue for him, as this course favors players who are accurate off the tee. Fitzpatrick has contended a few times this year, but hasn’t gotten over the hump. Perhaps this is the week.

Corey Conners +2100

If you want a player who is accurate off the tee and has a really good short game then Conners fits the bill. He has gained at least two shots on approach in each of his last five starts. He has a very similar skill set to that of Fitzpatrick and this course should favor him.

Abraham Ancer +3200

I think Ancer has a much better chance to win this week than he had last week in Mexico. Last week’s course favored longer hitters, while this week favors those who are accurate off the tee. Ancer has a strong short game and if his putter cooperates, he should contend this week and we get him at a nice price.

Keegan Bradley +3700

We are sticking with players who are accurate off the tee and have a good short game. Bradley fits into that category and he has done well in the past on bentgrass courses. He has finished in the top 11 in three of his last four starts. He should find this course to his liking and I expect him to contend this week.

Cameron Young +5000

I have definitely underrated Young in the past, but no longer. He looks like one of the younger players who is going to contend on a regular basis. I am shocked his odds are this high in a field that really isn’t that strong. I’ll take a flyer on him at odds of 50-1.

Davis Riley +6500

You can almost repeat what I said about Young in this section for Riley. He is one of the young players who looks poised to contend on a regular basis. I am really surprised his odds are so high. He has all the looks of a player who could get his first win soon.

Check out the latest Wells Fargo Championship odds at SugarHouse.