It was an embarrassing showing for last week’s NFL player prop bets without a single one hitting pay dirt at Caesars Sportsbook. Josh Allen went over 266.5 passing yards but only gave us seven rushing yards on three attempts which saw him come up short of his 292.5 passing + rushing yards prop. Even though Justin Fields crushed his 175.5 passing yards prop by throwing for 2+ spins, the Bears QB1 only ran the ball four times which amounted to a pedestrian three yards gained. The effort came up well short of his 240.5 rushing + passing yards prop as well. I – along with many others - proved to be dead wrong with the Puka Nacua fade after the Rams wide receiver bettered his impressive showing against Seattle by hauling in 10 more passes and turning them into 119 yards. He hit 44-yards in the first quarter! No choice but to circle the wagons and see if we can’t bang out some Week 3 player prop best bet winners – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
Bet Week 3 Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook
Justin Fields Over 48.5 Rushing Yards -110
The Bears QB1 let it be known just how disinterested he was running the show earlier this week when he stated the coaching staff was turning him into a robot. Watching Justin Fields against the Bucs last week, it was clear as day that he’s thinking way too much running Luke Getsy’s attack. With Eberflus already on the hot seat, I’m betting they allow Fields to be Fields and roll him out a ton against a KC defense likely to get a ton of pressure with Chris Jones back in the mix. This number should be lined closer to 60 than 50!
Deshaun Watson Over 222.5 Passing Yards -115 + Anytime Touchdown +370
It’s do-or-die time for Deshaun Watson who’s been nothing short of putrid through Cleveland’s first two games. Bad weather was an excuse NFL prop bettors could fall back on in his season debut, but there was absolutely no excuse for his showing against the Steelers on Monday night. The Titans’ pass funnel defense should serve as the perfect backdrop for the Browns QB1 to get back in the good graces of his player prop and fantasy supporters; as well as his teammates. Look for him to cap it off with his second touchdown plunge as well!
Kenneth Walker Over 64.5 Rushing Yards -110
Kenneth Walker Jr. hit pay dirt twice against the Lions last week. I think he’ll have an excellent opportunity to mimic that feat against Carolina. Only this time, there’ll be better production on the ground after only managing 43 yards on 17 carries against the Lions. The Panthers have been ripped for 132.0 rushing yards per game (No. 25) and 4.5 yards per carry (No. 21). Seattle’s a near touchdown home favorite that will be looking to salt this game away late after spitting the bit in the home opener against the Rams. Walker will be more than happy to oblige!
Najee Harris Over 49.5 Rushing Yards +102
This is a do-or-die spot for the Steelers perceived RB1 as well with Najee Harris doing absolutely nothing with his chances through Pittsburgh’s first two games against the 49ers and Browns. It must be noted that each of those defenses rank out amongst the top-5 in rush D to this point of the NFL betting season. Vegas ranks No. 27 against the run serving up nearly 140 yards per game and a healthy 4.9 yards per carry (No. 26). If Najee is to put some distance between him and backup Jaylen Warren, he must thrive in this spot and I think he does just that!
Nico Collins Over 54.5 Receiving Yards -110
The former Michigan product has ascended into the primary pass catching weapon on the Texans with rookie QB C.J. Stroud making it a point to look his way with regularity. Per the 33RDTEAM The Edge, Nico Collins has logged a 23.5 percent target share and been targeted on 29.0 percent of his 69 run routes. On top of that, his ADOT (Average Depth of Target) clocks in at 13.7 and share of team air yards 42.7 percent – each output is far and away the highest on the roster! The Jags sport a poor pass defense (No. 25) and this game possesses sneaky shootout potential!
Zay Flowers Over 48.5 Receiving Yards -115 + Anytime Touchdown +1000
The Ravens rookie has exceeded his 45.5 receiving yards prop in each of his first two NFL starts. Linemakers pumped his offering up a skosh in Week 3 but not by nearly enough. Zay Flowers is special and one you should think about investing in to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award (+1300) now before the rest of the NFL betting community catches on. He toppled his prop last week on a 52-yard catch, and a glorious matchup waits on Sunday versus a pathetic Colts secondary (No. 29). I’ll gladly take a flier on him coming up with his first touchdown as a pro at 10-1!
Kyle Pitts Over 33.5 Receiving Yards -110
It’s possible one might have their life threatened when bringing up the name Kyle Pitts in fantasy circles these days. A lightning rod for criticism after destroying his believers a season ago, the former Florida Gator has gotten out to a horrific start to his 2023-24 campaign with his eight targets turned into four receptions and 43 total yards. He was just out-targeted by Jonnu Smith last week, and his 16.0 percent TPRR is the lowest of the receiving corps. If he can’t get over the lowest impost of his career against a Lions defense allowing the third-most fantasy points to the position, it might never happen for the maligned tight end. You know he’ll do it after four percent of his fantasy owners had enough and decided to cut bait this week ;)