We took a small loss at BetRivers Sportsbook with last Thursday’s MLB Best Bets, but just as easily could’ve swept the board. The Milwaukee Brewers had ample opportunities to blow the game wide open in Chicago, but failed to take advantage. St. Louis battled back from numerous multi run deficits to take the lead late against Toronto, but the bullpen failed to hold on after giving up two runs in both the eighth and ninth innings. The lone ticket cash proved to be the over of Hunter Greene’s K prop against the Red in which he just barely eclipsed. Let’s see if we can continue adding to the bottom line with another installment of MLB Best Bets – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
YTD: 3-2 ($61)
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Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers will be pumped to take to the playing field on Thursday. Not only because it will be the team’s home opener, but because it finally gets to take on some lesser opposition after being forced to match wits with the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros in their first two series of the MLB betting season. Each of those teams figures to have a shot at squaring off in the ALCS for a shot at representing the AL in the Fall Classic. The Red Sox do not!
As readily able Boston has been to rip the cover off the ball early on, it’s pitching – both on the starting bump and in the bullpen – has been atrocious. Its collective 6.40 ERA ranks No. 29 of 30 teams and the starting staff is yet to offer up a quality start heading into Wednesday’s finale with Pittsburgh. Chris Sale was ripped by the O’s in his season debut for 3 HR and 7 ER through three innings! While Spencer Turnbull was also throttled in his debut at Tampa Bay, the lefty has always been a much better pitcher in the comforts of Comerica Park, and I expect a much different showing in his first start there since May of 2021. Boston will be favored to win this matchup on name recognition alone, but it shouldn’t be!
BET THE TIGERS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
If ever there was a team that will be psyched to finally get back into its own stomping grounds, it would be the Philadelphia Phillies. Rob Thomson’s troops finally logged their first win of the season Tuesday night and now must get the best of Gerrit Cole on Wednesday in hopes of not returning home to the City of Brotherly Love 1-5 through its first six games. Cincinnati has gotten out to a surprising 3-2 start and is in line to take their first two series heading into Wednesday’s matinee finale with the Chicago Cubs. It’s done a better than decent job with the sticks with an average of 5.0 runs per game (No. 13) and launching 10 bombs into the cheap seats (No. 5).
However, Zack Wheeler will represent the offense’s toughest assignment to date, and the right-hander enters his second start off an extremely poor showing in Texas where he was ripped for seven hits (1 HR) and 4 ER and failed to pitch through the fifth inning. Cincy hasn’t seen his stuff in over a year, and Wheeler owns a 3.60 ERA and .190 BAA through four lifetime starts against them. Look for the Phillies co-staff ace to show out and lead Philly to a commanding dub in its home opener. Set it up as a -1 run wager by betting the moneyline and -1.5 run-line if the alternate -1 run pays out a lesser amount.
BET THE PHILLIES
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
One of my first wagers of the 2023 MLB betting season was on the first five innings under when Dustin May and Merrill Kelly squared off against one another in Tinseltown last Friday night. The game ended 2-1 in favor of the Snakes with all the scoring accrued in the late innings. The main reason for that blind early season wager was due to Kelly’s horrific home/road splits. The last few years, Zona’s up-and-coming right-hander has dominated away from the desert and gotten his salad tossed in it.
Well, he wasn’t very good in his season debut against a Dodgers team that seems to have his number after giving up three hits and walking four while only throwing 74 pitches through 3.2 innings. Though he didn’t give up any runs, the opportunities were there for LA to take advantage. Much more hittable in the confines of Chase Field, I don’t foresee the baseball gods smiling upon him this time around. Then there was May who was brilliant in his debut by tossing seven innings of three hit shutout ball while only needing to throw 84 total pitches to get that deep. Look for Mookie Betts and Co. to scratch out a few runs early and for the bullpen to seal the deal once the red head departs.
BET THE DODGERS F5 & FG
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