The American Express Odds and Picks

Sportsbook

The PGA Tour heads to the mainland this week after two weeks in Hawaii and a very good field is assembled in southern California for The American Express. World No. 1 Jon Rahm is back in action this week and he is listed as the golf betting favorite. He is joined by Patrick Cantlay, last year’s Rookie of the Year, Will Zalatoris, Rickie Fowler, defending champion Si Woo Kim, among others. Rahm is listed at odds of +500, while Cantlay is the second choice in the betting odds at +750. All other players are listed at odds of +1800 or more. Let’s look at The American Express odds and picks.

Venue: This event takes place over three courses. They are the Stadium Course at PGA West which is a par 72 that measures 7,113 yards, La Quinta Country Club which is a par 72 that measures 7,060 yards and the Nicklaus Tournament Course at PGA West which is a par 72 and measures 7,159 yards. The American Express is a pro-am tournament with professionals grouped with amateurs for the first three days. The cut takes place after Saturday’s play and the top 70 and ties will play the Stadium Course at PGA West for the final round on Sunday.

Last Year: Si Woo Kim notched his third career PGA Tour win last year in this event. He birdied two of the last three holes to shoot an 8-under par 64 on Sunday. He needed all of those good shots to get past Patrick Cantlay who shot a final round 61 to break the Stadium Course record. Cantlay finished well before Kim and had to stick around to see how Kim finished. Cam Davis finished in third place, while Tony Finau finished in fourth place.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel

The American Express Odds

Rahm, Jon +500

Cantlay, Patrick +750

Sungjae Im +1800

Conners, Corey +2000

Finau, Tony +2000

Scheffler, Scottie +2000

Gooch, Talor +2200

Henley, Russell +2800

Wolff, Matthew +3300

Ancer, Abraham +3300

Reed, Patrick +3300

Power, Seamus +3500

Zalatoris, Will +4500

Howell III, Charles +4500

Bezuidenhout, Christiaan +4500

Tringale, Cameron +5000

Noren, Alexander +5500

Rose, Justin +6000

Fowler, Rickie +6600

Si Woo Kim +6600

Vegas, Jhonattan +6600

Harman, Brian +8000

Woodland, Gary +8000

List, Luke +8000

Knox, Russell +8000

Thompson, Michael +8000

McCarthy, Denny +8000

Ortiz, Carlos +8000

Kirk, Chris +8000

Hadwin, Adam +9000

Glover, Lucas +9000

Streelman, Kevin +9000

All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more

Favorite

Rahm, Jon +500

Rahm is the top ranked player in the world and the clear favorite in this event. As you follow me along with these golf picks you will quickly find out that I rarely back favorites. Golf betting favorites simply don’t win enough to be profitable, so it will be rare when I back one. Rahm is a very good player, but these odds are simply too low for me, so I will pass.

Value Picks

Scheffler, Scottie +2000

It is hard to believe that Scheffler does not yet have a PGA Tour win. He seems to be on the leaderboard every week and it shouldn’t be long before Scheffler gets his breakthrough win. He finished in third place two years ago in this event and a win this week would not be a surprise.

Abraham Ancer +3300

Did you know that the only player who finished in the top five in this event in the last two years was Ancer? He finished second two years ago and finished fifth last year. We know that Ancer can putt and these three courses are not extremely long and Ancer has proven he can do well on each of them. I think there is some value in taking Ancer to win this week.

Zalatoris, Will +4500

Zalatoris was the PGA Tour Rookie of the Year and it should not be long before he gets his first PGA Tour win. This event in the desert has been a good one for players getting their first victory, as the list includes Bill Haas, Jhonattan Vegas, Adam Long and Hudson Swafford. We are getting a really good price on Zalatoris and other than the top two of Rahm and Cantlay, Zalatoris fits in well.

Check out the latest The American Express odds at SugarHouse Sportsbook.