Target the Chiefs, Giants, and Cowboys as Division Round Teaser Legs

We ended up cashing two of three suggested teaser legs for the second time in as many weeks in the wild-card round at PointsBet Sportsbook. While the Seattle Seahawks made it interesting for a half, it was lights out over the game’s final 30. I still can’t comprehend how the Dolphins made a game of it in Buffalo considering they were nearly doubled up in overall yardage, but the Bills still managed to cash the -2.5 teaser leg – it paid to pay up for that one! Unfortunately, we were unable to pull off yet another sweep after Tampa Bay pulled a no-show in Tom Brady’s likely final start as a Buccaneer. Let’s see if we can bust that broom out in the Division Round!

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Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -350

Begrudgingly, I’ll recommend backing the Chiefs at less than a field goal knowing full well in my heart of hearts I clamor to see Doug Pederson move onto the AFC title game. Last week’s insane comeback against the Los Angeles Chargers was one for the ages. Down 27-0 and looking down and out, Trevor Lawrence and co. dug down deep and found a way to pull out the exhilarating 31-30 victory. Jacksonville is a very young team that’s been fighting for its playoff lives since week nine. A ton of energy and emotion went into last week’s win. Not to mention it also had to fight tooth and nail just to get by the Tennessee Titans in the week 18 finale just to get into a position to pull off that comeback.

While adrenaline will likely take over initially, I have a hard time envisioning this team going into hostile territory and being able to build off last week’s heroics. Patrick Mahomes seemingly had his way with the Jags pass defense in the first meeting throwing for 330+ yards and 4 TD. Kansas City went on to outgain Jacksonville 486-351 even though the Jaguars won the turnover battle 3-1. I don’t think the Jaguars ultimately win this game. With that, the prudent move here is to push the betting line under a field goal and bypass the Chiefs minus the full game impost due to their proclivity of not covering the NFL odds (5-11-1 ATS).

New York Giants +14.5 -275

The Eagles swept the regular season rivalry from the Giants winning 48-22 in the first go-round and 22-16 in week 18. We can throw the final result of the second meeting out the window due to New York resting all of its offensive starters. That however doesn’t hide the fact that Philly dominated when these teams met at full strength back in week 14. I think NY is playing with extreme confidence right now, and give the edge to Brian Daboll in the head coaching matchup regardless of this being his first go at it calling the shots in the playoffs.

On top of that, the Eagles won’t be at full strength heading into this third go-round. Though all likely to play, Robert Quinn, Linval Joseph, and Josh Sweat are all battling injuries. Avonte Maddox is likely a no go. That bodes well for both Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones. The former looked like a spring chicken in his last two starts against the Vikings. Same goes for “Danny Dimes.” While the Vikings stop unit pales in comparison to what Philly will march onto the field Saturday night, I think we get another A+ effort from the GMEN that keeps the final tally within two scores.

Dallas Cowboys +10.5 -325

While the Cowboys cut my heart out Monday night, I’m quick to forgive. Micah Parsons once again proved to be a one-man wrecking crew against Tampa Bay, and I firmly expect him to take it to another level against San Francisco knowing full well his offense will have its hands full trying to get the best of a superb 49ers defense.

This position is banking on the Dallas defense making life a living hell for rookie quarterback Brock Purdy who is yet to run up against a pressure defense quite like the Cowboys. This will also be just his second playoff start. Big D’s 40.3 percent pressure rate led the league, and it just got to Tom Brady for two sacks and countless pressures running up against a viable Bucs front. Purdy more or less played in a clean pocket last week with San Francisco’s front wall only allowing once sack and just five pressures across 32 pass-blocking snaps. I’ll tip my cap in the unit’s general direction if that production is mimicked against Parsons and co.

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