Super Bowl LVIII Odds First Look

By Mike Rose

The stage for Super Bowl LVIII is set with Andy Reid’s Kansas City Chiefs set to square off against Kyle Shanahan’s San Francisco 49ers with the former looking to repeat as champions after the refs handed last year’s title over on a silver platter. This will also be a revenge bout for the Niners who had KC dead to rights when the teams hooked up in Super Bowl LIV leading 20-10 heading into the fourth quarter. The Chiefs would go on to rattle off 21 straight fourth quarter points to win and cover the NFL odds as short 1.5-point favorites. This time around however, it’s the Niners linemakers at BetRivers Sportsbook have installed 2-point favorites to win with an O/U currently 5.5 points fewer than the total closed when these teams last met with title bragging rights on the line. Let’s put the current Super Bowl betting lines under the microscope and see where the NFL betting market resides with a week remaining until kick-off of the big game.


Bet on Super Bowl LVIII at BetRivers Sportsbook


Point Spread


The San Francisco 49ers initially hit the board 2.5-point favorites to win this game at BetRivers. It didn’t stay there for long after the NFL betting market pounced on the opportunity of backing Patrick Mahomes as an underdog a third straight time. And why not as big a bankroll booster No. 15 has been throughout his career when linemakers doubted him? The Chiefs clock in a lucrative 10-3 SU and 11-1-1 versus the closing NFL odds in that scenario having already adding a pair of scalps this postseason by winning at both the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens to punch a ticket to the Super Bowl for the fourth time in the last five seasons. The number to beat cratered all the way down to -1 in favor of the Niners before creeping back up to -2 regardless of the fact that Kansas City has hogged 74 percent of the bets and 65 percent of the money heading into Pro Bowl weekend. Still, it’s telling to see the Niners still holding strong as the favored side to come out on top regardless of receiving very little attention from the betting market.


Though the 49ers struggled against the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions to get to this point, let us not forget about how dominant the team was over the course of the regular season. San Fran secured the NFC’s No. 1 seed by way of winning 12 games. Included in the mix were 42-10 and 42-19 beat downs of the playoff entrant Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles. Through 19 played games, Brock Purdy and Co. went off the board favored to win each and every time. Though 9-10 versus the NFL odds overall, the 49ers won and covered the three times it was favored to win by 1-3 points ousting the Steelers, Jaguars, and Eagles by the aggregate score of 106-29.




The total hit the board 47.5 and hasn’t moved an inch since regardless of current betting splits from BetRivers Sportsbook indicating 62 percent of the bets and 54 percent of money being aligned with the over. An interesting stance to take considering Kansas City proved to be one of the best under bets in the game over the course of the regular season, and cashing under tickets twice already in the playoffs. All in, the Chiefs have played to low scorers in 14 of 20 overall played games with an average of 38.8 points scored. It’s ability to lock opposing passing attacks down proved to be one of the main reasons why with it allowing fewer than 177 yards (#4) and 1.1 touchdown passes (#2) per game. It also showed an uncanny ability to prevent upper tiered rushing attacks from exposing their porous run defense (#18) by not running the football much like the Baltimore Ravens didn’t do in the AFC title game. A week has passed and I still for the life of me can’t fathom how Todd Monken only handed the ball off to his capable running backs six times.


You can bet your bottom dollar that won’t occur in Super Bowl LVIII with a specimen like Christian McCaffrey in the backfield. If not for Lamar Jackson’s special showing in the regular season, RUN CMC would likely be in line to take home the MVP Award after going for 2000+ scrimmage yards and 21 touchdowns. He helped will the 49ers to the comeback win against Detroit last week, and will get to eat in the finale against a Chiefs defense that simply doesn’t have the defensive makeup to keep him in check. Due to such a balanced attack and ability to make hay in the red zone (#1), the 49ers have cashed over tickets in 10 of 19 overall played games with 47.3 points scored on average.


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