Shocker! NFL bettors were forced to take in another primetime snoozer after the Raiders gritted out the 16-12 win in a field goal fest over the Jets. New York won the box score battle and did everything it possibly could to win the game save for scoring a touchdown on its lone red zone appearance while Vegas punched its only penetration in for six. That right there ultimately cost us a shot at cashing in the Sunday Night Football same game parlay at Caesars Sportsbook even though we successfully predicted that Aidan O’Connell interception. Breece Hall also let us down failing to score a touchdown while coming 12 yards short of eclipsing his rushing + receiving prop due to averaging an unacceptable 2.2 yards per carry on his 13 totes against the Raiders 29th ranked run D. Let’s see if we can get into the win column this Sunday night when the Minnesota Vikings head to the Mile High City for a primetime throw down with the Denver Broncos – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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I’m simply amazed by the Vikings turnaround this season. I never once believed Minnesota had what it took to compete for the Super Bowl title last year regardless of winning 13 games and easily punching a ticket to the playoffs. The Giants showed just how big a fraud Kevin O’Connell’s squad was by handing them a 31-24 defeat in the second season. But even with Justin Jefferson roaming the sideline for the last month and Kirk Cousins lost for the year, SKOL has continued to stockpile wins and heads into Week 11 betting action comfortably in the NFC playoff picture as the No. 7 seed. Joshua Dobbs has been nothing short of a season-saver since coming over from Arizona at the trade deadline, and I firmly believe the backfield will finally have the right player toting the rock in Ty Chandler who I believe introduces himself to the player prop and fantasy community in a big way on SNF.
The Sean Payton era kicked off terribly with the Broncos managing just one win in their first five games which included not covers against the closing NFL odds; they pushed as 3-point favorites at Caesars in the Week 4 win at Chicago. But since suffering yet another brutal pointspread defeat in Week 6 at Kansas City, Denver has really opened my eyes. Even in that loss to the Chiefs in which they would’ve covered had KC not kicked the spread deciding field goal with just under two minutes remaining in the game, the Broncos impressed. Since then, Payton’s troops have rattled off three straight wins and covers against the Packers, Chiefs, and Bills with Vance Joseph’s defense coming around and Javonte Williams looking to be back to his dominant self. I fully expect No. 33 to play a large role in the final outcome of this game with Denver out to dominate time of possession and tire the opposing defense out with a constant barrage on the ground.
Though Minnesota enters this tilt owners of the league’s 10th ranked run defense that allows fewer than 99 yards per game and a paltry 3.7 yards per carry (No. 5), Brian Flores’ stop unit has been had by some of the better backs in the league. D’Andre Swift got the unit for 181 scrimmage yards and a score back in Week 2, while RUN CMC combined for 96 scrimmage yards and 2 TD in Week 7. Both matchups were under the lights in primetime like this one. Denver slowly worked Javonte into the mix to start the year, but has been utilized as the backfield’s workhorse during the team’s current win streak. He’s gone for 96, 98, and 110 scrimmage yards over that stretch while toting the rock 48 times and hauling in all seven of his targets over the last two weeks. In other words, No. 33 is getting work in and I fully expect him to give the Vikings defense a major workout in this prime time spot.
Since getting ripped for an average of 36.2 points over the first five weeks, the Broncos defense has finally started locking opponents down. While a return to health has played a large role, so too has its pass defense. These are the yardages allowed over the last month: 306, 180, 240, and 177. It also logged a rock-solid 4:6 TD/INT ratio during that stretch. The Vikings passing attack will have its hands full with Patrick Surtain and Co. regardless of whether JJ is back in the huddle. Where the Vikings can excel however is on the ground where Joseph’s run D continues to be an all-out sieve in serving up over 158 rushing yards per game to go along with a healthy 5.5 yards per carry. Both outputs rank dead last in the NFL! As such, I fully expect Ty Chandler to get a healthy dose of usage in this showdown which just might see him wrangle the RB1 job away from Alexander Mattison who will likely sit this one out due to a concussion and get “Wally Pipped” in the process.
This will be a competitive match from beginning to end, but look for the Broncos bruising running game and ability to shorten the game with it to lead the team to the win and cover against the Week 11 betting lines to even their record up for the season. Throw an alt rushing yards plus-money prop on Chandler into this Sunday Night Football same game parlay once Caesars Sportsbook gets it on the board for an even bigger ROI!
Broncos -2.5 -110
Javonte Williams 75+ Rushing Yards +115
Javonte Williams Anytime Touchdown -110
Ty Chandler Anytime Touchdown +110