Sunday Night Football Picks – Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills

Sportsbook
By Betmaker Team

The Green Bay Packers visit the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football on NBC. The Packers come into this game at 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS, while the Bills are 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS. The sky seems to be falling in Green Bay with Aaron Rodgers complaining nearly every week, while on the other side, the Bills look like the best team in the NFL. Oddsmakers don’t give Green Bay much of a chance in this one, as the Bills are listed as double-digit favorites. You might think that the public would be backing Rodgers and the Packers, but that is not the case, as the line has been going higher, as Buffalo is now a 10.5-point favorite and there are now some 11’s and 11.5’s out there. Let’s look at Sunday Night Football picks.

 

Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills

Date and Time: Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 8:15 PM EST

Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, New York

TV Coverage: NBC

 

BetMaker previews the upcoming matchup and gives a prediction for Monday night.

 

Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills NFL Picks

 

Can the Packers turn around their season with a huge upset on Sunday night? The Packers may actually be able to slow down the Bills, as Green Bay has good defensive numbers, but the Packers offense is another story. Green Bay is averaging just 18.3 points per game which is 23rd in the league. They are 17th in the NFL in passing yards and that is with a healthy Aaron Rodgers. The defense is giving up 20.9 points per game which is 14th in the league, but they are 8th in fewest yards allowed at 308.4 and they lead the league in fewest passing yards allowed at just 168.9 per contest. Aaron Jones leads the team with 432 rushing yards, Rodgers has thrown for 1,597 yards, while Allen Lazard leads the team with 340 receiving yards.

 

The Bills are doing virtually everything right. They are second in the league in points per game at 29.2 and they lead the league in total yards at 440.8 per contest and they lead the league in passing yards at 323 per game. They also lead the league in defense, giving up just 13.5 points per game and they are first in fewest yards allowed at 281.5 and first in fewest rushing yards allowed at 76.2. Josh Allen leads the team in rushing yards at 257 and he has thrown for 1,980 yards. Stefon Diggs leads the team with 656 receiving yards.

 

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Green Bay Packers +10.5

Buffalo Bills -10.5

Over/Under: 47.5 points

 

The line on this game has moved toward Buffalo. The Bills are listed as a 10.5-point favorite and some sportsbooks have moved the line to 11 or 11.5. The total has moved slightly downward, as many places opened the total at 48 and it is down a notch to 47.5.

 

The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the Packers and Bills. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Bills are 10-1-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Bills are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games following their bye week. The Under is 9-3 in the Packers last 12 games in October. The Under is 4-0 in the Bills last 4 games in October. The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in this series.

 

Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills NFL Free Pick

 

The Packers have definitely not played well for much of this season, but I am not laying double-digits against Rodgers in a marquee game. This is a watershed game for Green Bay and I think we’ll see them put forth a big effort. I am tempted to take the Packers plus the points but I think the total is the safer play. Both Green Bay and Buffalo have stout defenses and if the Packers are to win this game, then they have to keep the score down. I’ll go under the total on Sunday night.

 

The Pick: Under 47.5

 

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