My three-week sweep streak came to a screeching halt last Sunday when I failed to cash any of my MLB Best Bets at PointsBet Sportsbook. You can only run well for so long! After erupting for 12 hits and nine runs in a series opening win against the Braves, Baltimore’s bats fell silent through the weekend only combining for 13 hits and six runs. They never sniffed Sunday’s team total. The Pirates were flat out embarrassing in last weekend’s home series sweep at the hands of the Blue Jays. I proved to be the kiss of death for Mason Miller heading into Sunday’s start at Kansas City. I touted him as an AL Rookie of the Year contender. Then he went out and took the L against the Royals. Immediately after, he landed on the 15-day IL – woe is me! Let’s see if we can close the week back in the green – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
YTD: 54-54-3 (-$295)
LW: 8-14 (-$840)
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
It’s unknown as to who will take the bump for the Mets in the series finale with the division rival Nationals. I don’t care – this losing streak must come to an end! New York’s offense has been nothing short of disgusting since late April. After plating six in the series opener with the Reds, Pete Alonso and his mates combined for a grand total of two runs in the next two games. In the GAB against the Reds 27th ranked pitching staff - It’s insane! New York rates out amongst the best in the league in both K (No. 2) and BB (No. 5) rate, but has had major issues scoring runs (No. 24) and hitting for average (No. 22). It has however been its best against RHP with the team 13-9 and averaging a healthy 5.3 runs per game (No. 6). Enter Washington rookie Jake Irvin and his laughable 0.84 ERA backed by an 8:7 K/BB ratio and 4.06 FIP. Sorry, but this isn’t going to sustain and it’s going to get real ugly when the youngster is finally exposed. I expect that to occur in this spot regardless of the Nats being extremely feisty of late. This isn’t a Gore or Gray start so we’re riding the fade train – confidently!
BET THE METS
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies
It’s insane to believe, but Kyle Freeland is the Rockies staff ace with the left-hander entering his ninth start of the baseball betting season 3-4 with a solid 3.57 ERA and 30:11 K/BB ratio. Though he took the loss last time out, he got outdueled by Mitch Keller in the ‘Burgh where he tossed seven strong innings and only conceded a pair of earned runs. Before that, he threw five innings of shutout ball at the Brewers in Coors. The F5 under has cashed in each of his last three outings, and he’s already seen the Phillies once to date allowing five hits (3 HR) and 4 ER with a 6:1 K/BB ratio at CBP. No team in MLB has struggled against southpaws more than Philadelphia who stands 3-7 and averages just 2.5 runs per game. The under cashed at a 6-3-1 clip in those games. Aaron Nola gave up four hits (1 HR) and 3 ER with a pedestrian 3:3 K/BB ratio when he threw at the Rox back on April 21. The righty owns a career 3.96 ERA and .222 BAA in four career Coors Field starts. I think we got a sneaky early pitcher’s duel in this one, so we’ll bank on both starting pitchers keeping the offenses in check and hit the under on the first five innings odds.
BET THE FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox
Whenever Corey Kluber takes to the bump, I get excited about the prospect of watching some fireworks light up the sky. The veteran right-hander has seen the over cash in all but one of his seven made starts with an average of 12.3 runs crossing the plate. Somehow, he’s only conceded a grand total of seven runs in his last three turns against the Orioles, Blue Jays, and Phillies – offenses all ranked above the league median against right-handers. He’s been nothing short of wretched at home (7.71 ERA) and under the lights (5.91 ERA). Though St. Louis has been a poor hitting team against RHP overall (No. 18), it’s averaged nearly 7.0 run per game against righties over the last week. The Redbirds will need as much run support as possible with Miles Mikolas and his bloated 12.3 hits per nine innings and 1.65 WHIP taking to the Fenway bump for his ninth start. Boston’s teed off on RHP to the tune of a .814 OPS and averaged 5.9 runs per game in those contests with the over cashing in at PointsBet Sportsbook at a lucrative 17-6-1 clip. This one’s got fireworks written all over it right from the first pitch!
BET THE F5 & FG OVER
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