Sunday, April 30 MLB Best Bets

We busted out the brooms with our MLB Best Bets at PointsBet Sportsbook once again this past Sunday! Though it took longer than expected, the Phillies destroyed their team total against the Rockies even though most of the damage wasn’t done against Jose Urena. We then closed the day out with a run-line win backing Yu Darvish and the Padres though the bullpen made things real interesting once he departed. With the pitching change in Cleveland, the position on the Tribe was washed away though Jose Ramirez and co. still peppered Jesus Luzardo as expected. Let’s see if we can close this week out with another broom job – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

YTD: 34-30-3 ($332)

LW: 10-7-1 ($115)

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

Looking at the pitching matchups for this three-game set between the Buccos and Nats, it’s entirely possible Pittsburgh takes the field Sunday looking to bust out the brooms. However, I believe Josiah Gray will play the role of spoiler to a T and slam the door in the Pirates collective face. Along with McKenzie Gore, the duo will spearhead Washington’s starting staff for many years to come if each continues to improve the way they have through their first five starts.

Since getting blasted for seven hits (3 HR) and 5 ER in his season debut, the righty has produced quality starts in two of his last four starts and came all of four outs away from rattling off four straight. He enters start No. 6 off his finest showing after spinning six innings of shutout ball at the Mets in New York while racking up a season-high 9 K and only issuing one free pass. The Pirates are destined to get a visit from the negative regression monster in short order. Same goes for Johan Oviedo who is 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA even though he sports a 3.0 BB/9 and has served up 3 HR in 29.2 IP after only allowing five in 56 innings last season. Gray’s worth the stab as a home dog!

BET THE NATIONALS

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox

In dropping three straight series to the Tigers, Marlins, and Rockies with the last two coming at home, I fully expect the Tribe to invade Beantown determined to get out of dodge with the series win. It could be tough with Shane Bieber no longer the dominant staff ace we all grew to know and love and Zach Plesac serving up BP every time he takes to the starting bump. If they manage to at the very least earn a split in the first two games, it’ll be up to rookie Logan Allen to outduel Chris Sale to bring home the bacon. That’s an extremely tough ask with this being the rookie southpaw’s first MLB road start.

As absurd a season Sale has had to date with the veteran boasting an absurd 8.22 ERA and .316 BAA, I simply can’t see him getting outdueled in this spot back home where he last dominated the Twins to help lead the squad to the 5-4 win. Cleveland is 4-8 and averaging just 3.8 runs per game against LHP to date. Boston takes the finale!

BET THE RED SOX

Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland A’s

A quick glance of Mason Miller’s box scores from his first two starts don’t paint the prettiest of pictures. He’s been raked for nine hits and served up 6 ER through 8.1 combined innings. However, the soon to be 25-year old has tallied 11 strikeouts and only issued two free passes. His first two assignments came in the forms of the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Angels with each squad ranked amongst the top-8 in OPS while averaging 5.7 and 5.2 runs per game respectively. Both teams also boast K rates in the top half of the league.

The same can’t be said of the Reds who rank No. 25 in OPS and sport the third highest K rate in the league. This Miller kid is going to make a name for himself in short order, and I fully expect him to go out and dominate a Cincinnati lineup early on with the placement of his fastball and a slide piece that should have Reds batters whiffing throughout. Should his K prop open 4.5 like it did in his first two starts, the over is a banger – I’d be comfortable going over 5.5 as I foresee a crooked number being hung!

BET OVER MASON MILLER’S K PROP

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