I pretty much juiced out with my QB and RB player props last week mostly due to injuries, but I knocked it out of the park in the wide receiver department cashing all five suggested positions to take a good chunk from the folks over at BetRivers Sportsbook. A.J. Brown went HAM against his former team as expected with nearly 120 receiving yards and not one but two touchdowns! Christian Kirk surpassed his receiving yard and reception props with relative ease, and Justin Jefferson was stymied by Sauce Gardner and the Jets lockdown secondary which resulted in him coming nowhere close to going over his receiving yards prop. Let’s see if we can’t build upon that perfection in Week 14 with some more bets to make on WR player props!
Bet Week 14 WR Props at BetRivers Sportsbook
Justin Jefferson Over 92.5 Receiving Yards -115 + Over 6.5 Receptions -140
We poked the bear last week and got away with it. I’m not testing fate this time around! Justin Jefferson is the premiere WR1 in the game, and I fully expect him to bounce back in this smash spot against a Detroit Lions defense that’s been abused by opposing passing games all season long. It’s ranked No. 27 overall in allowing 252+ yards per game and a healthy 7.3 yards per pass attempt (No. 30). Only Pittsburgh, Minnesota, Atlanta, and Tennessee have conceded more passing yardage per game than that of the Lions.
JJ was held in check last week for 45 yards and a touchdown on seven receptions against the Jets No. 5 ranked pass DVOA. Detroit clocks in at No. 17. Jefferson has only failed to surpass his receiving yards prop three times to date. Two of the instances saw him bounce back with two of his biggest performances of the season after going for 147 yards against the Saints and 139 yards against the Patriots. He’s averaging 7.3 receptions per game and is likely to be Kirk Cousins’ No. 1 target in this matchup as well. Look for Jefferson to go HAM in what should play out to be one of the more entertaining matchups of Week 14 that could find the Vikings playing catchup numerous times.
Garrett Wilson Over 61.5 Receiving Yards -115 + Anytime Touchdown
I get that Tre’Davious White is back in the Bills secondary and looking good, but oddsmakers still aren’t giving the Jets premiere WR1 his just due with this laughable impost. Since Mike White nestled in under center, he and Garrett Wilson have been making sweet music with one another hooking up 13 times for 257 yards and 2 TD. He’s peppered the former Buckeye with 23 targets with the next highest targeted Jet coming in at 13. Wilson has the skills, talent, and bravado to routinely get open against the Bills in this rematch.
The Jets are catching 10 points in a game with a 43-point total. That means they’re only expected to score in the neighborhood of 16.5 to 17.5 points dependent upon where you shop. Its possible New York gets its doors blown off in this one considering it handed the Bills a 20-17 loss back in Week 9 in a game Buffalo had no issues moving the ball up and down the field but only managed 17 points due to turnovers. Should garbage time come into play, Wilson will topple this number with ease. Even if it doesn’t, he’ll still get the job done provided an injury doesn’t end his day prematurely.
Darius Slayton Under 47.5 Receiving Yards -110 & Under 3.5 Receptions +105
Darius Slayton is on an extreme heater right now having gone over his receiving yards prop in each of his last five made starts. He just took the Commanders for 90 yards on six catches last week. But that was against Washington’s No. 14 ranked pass DVOA defense and No. 8 ranked pass defense that gives up over 200 yards per game. Philly sports the league’s No. 1 ranked pass D that serves up fewer than 179 yards per game and only 5.3 yards per pass attempt (No. 1). It also sits only behind the Dallas Cowboys with the second best pass DVOA in the game.
The Eagles are much more beatable on the ground (No. 23), so this looks to be a game Saquon Barkley is showcased provided the neck injury that popped up on the injury report late in the week doesn’t hinder his ability to suit up. Either way, Slayton and all of the GMEN pass catchers are going to have their hands full running up against Darius Slay and James Bradberry with the cornerback duo surefire candidates to head back to the Pro Bowl come the season’s end.