Jonathan Taylor enters the 2022-23 season the runaway winner of the rushing title after galloping for over 1,800 yards on a whopping 332 overall carries. His ability to do so was made all the more easy due to Derrick Henry’s mid-season foot injury that kept him on the sideline until the playoffs. As such, SugarHouse Sportsbook currently has the duo lined the odds-on +450 favorites to win the rushing title this upcoming NFL betting season. I’m firmly aware that Taylor is a beast that will compete for the title moving forward, but do we really want to invest in the favorite?
With WR Alec Pierce drafted and Matt Ryan inserted under center, something tells me the Colts will be passing the ball just a wee bit more this year. Taylor’s reps will be cut because of it. I’ve got my eye on three other ball carriers that could go on to have a special season to take home bragging rights. The following are favorite, underdog, and longshot positions taken on ball carriers I’ve got pegged as making a mint for their prop and fantasy supporters over the course of the regular season.
NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds at SugarHouse Sportsbook
Jonathan Taylor/Derrick Henry +450
Dalvin Cook +1000
Nick Chubb +1100
Elijah Mitchell/Najee Harris/Joe Mixon +1600
Antonio Gibson/Javonte Williams/Damien Harris +2000
J.K. Dobbins/Cam Akers +2500
Austin Ekeler +3000
Rashaad Penny/James Conner +4000
Ezekiel Elliott/Lamar Jackson +4000
Christian McCaffrey/Aaron Jones +4000
Breece Hall/Miles Sanders/Josh Jacobs +4000
Leonard Fournette +4000
David Montgomery/D’Andre Swift +5000
Devin Singletary/Travis Etienne/Saquon Barkley +5000
Kenneth Walker/AJ Dillon +6000
Deebo Samuel/Alvin Kamara +6000
Tony Pollard +7000
Chris Carson/James Robinson +8000
Ronald Jones/Raheem Mostert +8000
Chase Edmonds/Darrell Henderson +8000
Kyler Murray/Rhamondre Stevenson/Melvin Gordon +8000
All other players listed with odds of greater than 100-1.
Favorite to Bet: Nick Chubb +1100
Routinely averaging better than 5.0 yards per carry throughout his four-year NFL career, Chubb is by far one of the most efficient runners the league currently has to offer. The problem with the former Georgia Bulldog however has been health. The injury bug and the COVID monster forced him to miss a number of games over the last two seasons; seven in all to be exact. Because of it, the Browns RB1 has only amassed a grand total of 418 combined carries the last two seasons. Kareem Hunt also proved to be a limiting factor eating into his workload when healthy.
I just know a healthy season is in store for No. 24 in the near future. When that happens, a special campaign will come to pass and I’m going to want to be a part of it. The Cleveland Brown’s offensive line suffered from injury attrition a season ago. It’s still got some concerns in the offseason but will rate out as a top-three unit should everything fall into place. If it does and Chubb is inserted into the huddle every passing game, he will flirt with busting the 2,000 yard plateau. That at the very least will have him in the running to take home the rushing title; if not be the chalk to take it home!
Underdog to Bet: Javonte Williams +2000
I took an early shot on the rookie drafting him in the sixth round of my home fantasy league last year. I simply fell in love with this kid after watching him make minced meat of opposing defenses while toting the rock for the North Carolina Tar Heels the prior year. Unfortunately, his backers suffered from a bout of rookie “handcuff-it is” after Melvin Gordon seemingly drank from the Fountain of Youth to force the prior coaching staff to routinely give him an equal allotment of carries. It’s crazy how similarly Javonte and Gordon resembled one another last season. The former turned his 203 carries into 903 rushing yards and 4 TD, while the latter went for 918 yards and 8 TD on an exact 203 carries.
Add it all up, and we’re looking at a Denver running back rushing for over 1,800 yards and 12 TD. That’s elite right there peeps! And to think the yardage was accrued with the passing attack doing very little. With Russell Wilson now under center in the Mile High City, the Denver Broncos could possess one of the more lethal offensive attacks in the entire league. With Williams expected to get the lion’s share of carries this time around, I’m taking a flier. Be sure to get your money down on him now at SugarHouse since their payoff remains one of the best currently on the board. DK’s only paying out 14-1 right now!
Longshot to Bet: Rhamondre Stevenson +8000
The New England Patriots ran the No. 8 ranked rushing offense onto the gridiron every week that averaged 28.3 carries per game (No. 9) with Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson accruing a bulk of them. The unit is anchored by one of the premier offensive lines in the business that’s expected to once again rank out as one of the best in the NFL per the folks at FTN Fantasy. Hopefully, that reach for Cole Strange in the first round pans out ;) Regardless, I saw enough from Stevenson to know that he can shoulder the load should Harris once again be hindered by the injury bug.
The case of the former Oklahoma Sooner is one in that he’s a top end hand-cuff fantasy footballers will draft later on in hopes that he ends up getting a bulk of the carries due to ineffectiveness or injury sustained by the perceived starter. He currently owns a 118 ADP in full point PPR drafts while Harris clocks in at No. 46. Talk about bang for the buck both from a futures odds and ADP perspective if, in fact, the “Battering Ram” becomes the Pats primary ball carrier. If he does let’s just hope he stays healthy cuz he’ll put on a show you won’t want to miss!