NBA Picks – Warriors at Suns Christmas Evening


Last year both the Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns were among the biggest surprises for Free NBA Picks. Stephen Curry carried Golden State to the first-ever play-in round in NBA history. But the question remained whether Curry would have enough help to make an even bigger push for 2021-22. Golden State was a hot ticket on the preseason futures market. A lot of gamblers wondered why. Now we know. Golden State is in the mix for the top seed in the Western Conference for the 2022 NBA Playoffs. Meanwhile, nobody saw the Phoenix Suns winning the Western Conference title last spring. Now, nobody would be surprised if the Suns won it all come June.


NBA Picks Today - Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns


On Saturday, December 25, 2021, the Phoenix Suns will host the Golden State Warriors at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Tipoff time is 5 p.m. ET with television coverage on ABC. Check the SugarHouse Sportsbook for line updates and options.


Warriors at Suns Odds Analysis


Normally the home team draws most of the casual money for NBA Betting Picks. Especially when that team is coming off an appearance in the NBA Finals and is leading its division. But the Golden State Warriors remain a much bigger brand than the Phoenix Suns. All casual fans know who Stephen Curry is. By contrast, many fans and squares would struggle to name a single player on the Suns' roster. Thus, the casual money is going to be on the Warriors. And that sets up perfectly for Wise Guys who love nothing more than a top-quality home team at a discount price.

Warriors in a Golden State of Profit Taking


Late on, the Warriors have shown a value decline for Picks for NBA. On the whole, it is an overdue market correction for a team that is too popular and was defying its gravity against the oddsmakers.


Golden State has covered only three of its previous nine games. Five of the Warriors' last seven games cleared the total. Golden State has a record of 25-6 straight up, 19-10-2 against the spread, and 9-21 under the total. Overall, NBA metrics show the Warriors 5th for scoring offense and 1st for points allowed.


Andrew Wiggins, the second-leading scorer on the Warriors, is in COVID protocol. His status is uncertain for this game. Wiggins is averaging 18.7 points per contest.


Stephen Curry leas the Warriors with 27.1 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 6.0 assists per game. Curry has proven to be one of the true impact players in the game. He is in the conversation for NBA Most Valuable Player for the third time in his career. There is no way the Warriors would be anywhere close to their current level of play if not for Curry.


Head coach Steve Kerr remains one of the most respected bench bosses in the Association. It is true that Kerr has the luxury of Curry on his roster. But Kerr has been masterful at manipulating the surrounding pieces on his roster.


Suns Burn Brightly and Prove Sustainability


The Suns are one of the hottest teams on the board for NBA Picks Tonight. Phoenix has covered five of its most recent six games. Only one of their last four games went under the total. Phoenix has a record of 25-5 straight up, 17-13 against the spread, and 12-17 under the total. Overall, the Suns rank 3rd in the NBA for scoring offense and 4th for points allowed.

Devin Booker leads the Suns with 23.0 points per game. Also factoring in the Phoenix success is Deandre Ayton, with 16.9 points and 11.3 rebounds per contest. Veteran Chris Paul adds 14.3 points and 10.0 assists per game.


Head coach Monty Williams is emerging as one of the best in the NBA. Phoenix was seen as a fluke in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Now the Suns are respected for being a bona fide top-tier contender. Williams has changed the dynamics and expectations of this franchise.


Warriors at Suns Free Picks for NBA


The Suns will bring the better price and, perhaps, the better team in this situation.


Warriors at Suns Best Bet: Phoenix Suns


Every day through June, the Top NHL odds and picks can be accessed and made at SugarHouse.