NBA Picks – Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks

We will see a rematch of last year’s Western Conference Finals this weekend when the Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks. Golden State wiped the floor with Dallas in the postseason last year, taking a 3-0 series lead before Dallas won Game 4, allowing the Mavericks something to hold onto before bowing out in Game 5. The Mavericks were able to get a small modicum of revenge for that loss earlier this season when they topped the Warriors 116-113 in late November behind an awesome performance from Luka Doncic. Doncic had 41 points, 12 rebounds, and 12 assists, and he made over 50% of his shots in the win.

However, the Golden State Warriors are a much different team at home than they are on the road. Golden State has a 19-6 record in the Bay Area compared to a 7-19 mark away from home, so they will be favored by the NBA betting odds in the second game between these teams this season.

On Saturday, February 4, 2023, the Golden State Warriors will welcome the Dallas Mavericks to the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC, but both teams will face an opponent on Thursday night prior to this showdown.

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds at BetRivers Sportsbook

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Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Preview

Luka Doncic is one of the favorites to be named the NBA MVP per the current NBA futures odds as he has been fantastic throughout this season. Doncic is close to averaging a triple double with 33.4 PPG, 8.9 RPG, and 8.3 APG, and he also leads Dallas with 1.5 SPG. He is making over 50% of his field goals and 35.5% of his threes, and he had three 50-point games in December and is coming off a 50-point game in a win over the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday night. Doncic went 17 of 24 from the floor in that victory, continuing to light up the scoreboard with his all-around play.

Dallas has struggled without Jalen Brunson at times this season. However, Christian Wood and Spencer Dinwiddie are starting to show that they are nice complementary pieces. Wood is averaging 18.4 PPG and 8.4 RPG, but he has missed the last two weeks with a thumb injury. Meanwhile, Dinwiddie has finally carved out a niche, and he is thriving in the Metroplex with 17.5 PPG and 5.3 APG while making over 40% of his threes.

There is a real drop off after those three players though. Tim Hardaway Jr. just doesn’t have it, and Maxi Kleber has missed most of the season with a torn hamstring. Josh Green and Dwight Powell can each give Dallas something off the bench, but their production is limited, so it’s clear that the Mavericks are missing at least one more piece before they become a true contender.

Although Golden State has one of the best home records in the NBA, the Warriors lost three straight home games to Detroit, Orlando, and Phoenix at the start of last month. They made it four home losses in a row after dropping a game to Brooklyn on January 22, but they knocked off Memphis and Toronto before leaving on a road trip.

Steph Curry continues to thrive for Golden State, averaging 29.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 6.4 APG while making 49.1% of his field goals and 42.7% of his threes. Curry is in his mid-30s, but he is still shooting the lights out and beating double teams to get open.

After a rough start to the season, Klay Thompson has settled down and is averaging 21.0 PPG while making 39.2% of his threes. Unfortunately, last year’s breakout star Jordan Poole is only hitting 32.3% from downtown after Golden State rewarded him with a four-year, $123 million extension this offseason. The Warriors are in luxury tax hell as they look to keep their window open as long as possible, so seeing Poole struggle this much is a stinging feeling.

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Doncic has been awesome this season, but Golden State has been strong at home and has had Dallas’ number. The Warriors have a significant talent edge, and that should give them the win in this game.