A rematch of last season’s Super Bowl closes the betting week when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the Kansas City Chiefs in the Week 11 edition of Monday Night Football in what could easily be a preview of the title game in February. The schedule makers got it right pitting the two best teams in the league this season against each other following a bye. And that means there are plenty of opportunities to make a NFL wager with same-game parlays a popular option for this matchup. After losing their opener to Detroit, the Chiefs have won their last three home games going 3-0 as a NFL pick against the spread. They are a 2.5-point favorite on the NFL betting line.
It appears as though the teams won’t have pristine playing conditions on Monday like they had in Arizona back in February when the Chiefs rallied for a dramatic 38-35 victory for their second Lombardi Trophy in four years. Early weather reports call for rain, wind and cold, which could impact how the offenses operate. The total hit the board at 46.5. If you’re looking to play a same-game parlay you can make football bets online at BetRivers sportsbook.
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After finishing last season with identical 14-3 records and earning the top seed in their respective conference, the Eagles and Chiefs are at it again. Jalen Hurts is having another solid season helping the Eagles to third in scoring with 28 points per game, which is right where they finished last season. And somehow the experts get the feeling that the Eagles have regressed, but the stats don’t lie. For Hurts the bye came at a good time since he’s been dealing with a leg injury apparently sustained in the Week 6 loss to the Jets, which is the only blemish on their record.
Wearing a knee brace the last three games, Hurts was still able to produce tossing eight TD passes in that span with the Eagles averaging over 32 points. If the weather is problematic on Monday I have to give the edge to Philly due to their ability to run the football. According to ESPN the Eagles own the No. 1 run block win rate. They average nearly 130 yards on the ground with Hurts the team’s second leading rusher. Even with his bum wheel Hurts scampered for 36 yards in the Week 9 win over Dallas and he’s likely better off after the bye. The Chiefs are aggressive on D just like the Boys giving Hurts chances to go over his rush yard total of 35.5 at BetRivers.
The Chiefs aren’t the same team that led the NFL in yards and points last season and dropped 38 on a good Eagles defense in the Super Bowl. The numbers in both categories have dropped significantly even though Patrick Mahomes is having an efficient season. They failed to score a touchdown in the Week 8 loss to Denver and have scored 20 points or less four times. That happened just twice last season. Yet the Chiefs own the best record in the AFC at 7-2 thanks to a defense that gives up the second-fewest points and fourth-fewest yards. They’ve played below the total on the NFL betting line in each of their last five games.
Defensively the Eagles will focus on shutting down KC’s leading receiver Travis Kelce, who has 31 more targets and 25 more catches than second-place Rashee Rice. Mahomes has little confidence in a receiving group that leads the NFL in drops and he will force throws to Kelce in a pinch. And since the Chiefs have a tough time running the ball and Philly is No. 1 against the rush, expect Kelce to be a prominent figure. He’s gone over his receiving yard total of 75.5 for this game just twice, but he had 81 yards on six receptions in the Super Bowl.
Avenging their Super Bowl loss isn’t a priority for the Eagles, but it is something they’re thinking about. And beating the defending champs on Monday night won’t erase the bitterness of blowing a 10-point halftime lead. It is, however, a chance to further separate from the rest of the pack in the NFC and I believe at this point they are a better team making them my NFL betting pick.
Eagles +2.5 & UNDER 46.5
Jalen Hurts OVER 35.5 Rushing Yards
Travis Kelce OVER 75.5 Receiving Yards
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