MLB Same Game Parlays - Sunday, May 21

By Mike Rose

Last Sunday’s MLB Best Bets ended up cashing at a 2-1-1 clip over at PointsBet Sportsbook to close the week out on a high. But it should’ve been better! The Sunday nighter between the Red Sox and Cardinals had absolutely no business going under the F5 innings total and pushing the full game total. Boston couldn’t solve the riddle that proved to be Miles Mikolas for one reason or another. I didn’t care who squared off against Jake Irvin knowing full well the Mets bats would punish him. It just so happened to be Mad Max – easy win! Kyle Freeland got to take advantage of yet another cushy matchup against a struggling Phillies offense to help us cash our position on the F5 under. Let’s see if we can close the week in the green once again with some more MLB Same Game parlays – SLAM YOUR MAN!!


YTD: 65-63-5 (-$160)

LW: 11-9-2 ($135)


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Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves


I give the M’s more than a puncher’s chance of going into Truist and taking this series from the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. They won’t have to face Spencer Strider and instead get Bryce Elder and Charlie Morton with Saturday’s starter still undecided. I faded Morton in a prime letdown spot for Atlanta this past Monday and paid dearly for it after the veteran went out and tossed 6.2 innings of shutout ball and racked up a season-high 10 K against a Rangers offense that’s raked LHP (7.6 RPG). Now he gets Seattle who’s been league average versus southpaws (4.7 RPG). Linemakers are destined to post inflated MLB odds to the home team in this finale.


That’s music to my ears with George Kirby set to make his ninth start of the year with the second-year hurler coming just one out short of going at least seven innings in each of his last four starts. As brutal a spot this is, Kirby’s been fantastic at not giving up the long ball (0.4/9) or issuing walks (0.7 BB/9). Those are two areas the Braves’ offense has depended on, so it’ll be interesting to see how they produce when taken away. Atlanta’s shown a penchant for going down via the strikeout (No. 17). Even more at home where they own a 25.2 percent K rate! This is a huge show-me spot for the right-hander and I expect him to shine ultimately leading the M’s to an impressive road win. My best bet within this MLB same game parlay is Kirby over his pitching outs; hopefully we get a value packed 16.5!




Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates


The D’backs crush sliders and 4-seamers per Baseball Savant. That’s all I need to know to blindly back Zona on the MLB odds against Roansy Contreras in the series finale with those pitch types the right-handers go-to choices. Seriously, Contreras throws the slide piece 44 percent of the time and the four-seam fastball 41 percent of the time. Should his slider fail to register outs like it did last time out against Baltimore, he’s going to be in serious trouble with the amount of hard contact his fastball has endured (29.5%).


Pair the advantage Arizona’s offense is likely to have with Merrill Kelly toeing the bump, and we got a solid 1-2 punch to get excited about heading into the finale. The righty clocks in 4-3 with a 2.92 ERA in conceding only 6.2 hits and racking up 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. All but two of his last seven starts have been of quality, and he’s been at his absolute best on the road where he’s only conceded 18 hits and 3 ER while racking up a 21:6 K/BB ratio through 22.2 IP. Pittsburgh’s offense has struggled against righties in averaging 3.8 runs per game (No. 26) with a .693 OPS. Kelly’s registered at least 18 outs in six of his last seven starts - Sunday will make it seven! The Snakes over their team total is my best bet of the suggested trio.




Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants


No team strikes out more against left-handed pitching than that of the San Francisco Giants. Pretty crazy considering the team stands 8-5 and averages 4.2 runs per game against them for the season. Regardless, their K rate clocks in at 28.9 percent and I expect that output to get worse with Michael Conforto and co. scheduled to stare back at Jesus Luzardo who will be out to log win No. 4 and a quality start for the fourth time in his last five starts. While I think he’ll be in a position to put that dub in his back pocket, the Marlins bullpen is worrisome (No. 21) so we’ll instead back Miami on the first five inning betting odds and hope the wind is blowing in as extreme a fly ball pitcher No. 44 has proven to be. We’ll pair that up with the over of his K prop and hope PointsBet oddsmakers release it at 5.5 with affordable juice attached to the over much like his last two starts.




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