We went 1-2 with last Monday night’s MLB Best Bets at BetRivers Sportsbook to kick off the week on a down note. The Charlie Morton fade bit me in the behind in a big way after the lefty dominated en route to leading the Braves to a 12-0 shutout of the Rangers in the series opener. The Astros went on to win a back-and-forth affair with the Cubs to get us into the win column, but the Reds would close the night out by dropping a 9-8 decision to the Rockies in one of those quintessential Coors games where no lead was safe. Here’s to kicking off a brand new week by adding to the bank roll with another installment of MLB same game parlays - SLAM YOUR MAN!!
YTD: 65-63-5 (-$160)
LW: 11-9-2 ($135)
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
This pitching matchup will be a rematch of one that just took place on the Southside last Wednesday night when Mike Clevinger picked up his first win since the beginning of April by tossing six innings of six hit and 2 ER ball at the Guardians. That made it two straight quality starts for the right-hander, but neither was impressive. Clevinger is the owner of a 4.56 ERA and career-worst 5.11 FIP in allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings while sporting a mediocre 40:22 K/BB ratio. He’s been at his absolute worst on the road and at night with his ERA sitting above 5.00 and the opposition batting .250+ against him.
Peyton Battenfield has been a right-handed arm we’ve faded in a couple spots through his first six career starts, and we’ve come out on the right side of the MLB odds in doing so considering Cleveland is yet to win any of his outings. I think he pops his win cherry tonight! Since having issues with walks early on, the righty has only issued one in his last three turns and he amassed a grand total of 17.1 innings pitched in those outings. Though Chicago just got him for nine hits (3 HR) and 5 ER, the White Sox continue to be one of the worst offenses in the league. The rookie had tallied 21 and 18 outs in his two prior home starts, so I’m expecting another deep outing now back in the comforts of Progressive Field while knowing how the Palehose will attack him.
SAME GAME MLB PARLAY: GUARDIANS MONEYLINE + BATTENIFELD OVER PITCHING OUTS
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
I think we have another sneaky under on our hands in the opener between the AL Central rival Tigers and Royals with Michael Lorenzen set to square off against Brady Singer. Detroit’s right-hander looks to be coming into his own having gone 2-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 26:9 K/BB ratio over 34.0 innings through six starts. Since getting bludgeoned for 5 ER at Milwaukee back on April 26, the righty has conceded a grand total of 2 ER in his last three starts while only giving up 14 hits through 20 IP. KC ranks No. 26 with a .663 OPS against RHP and only averages 3.9 RPG.
While Singer’s bloated 7.09 ERA sets off immediate warning signals, the righty hasn’t been nearly as bad as indicated considering his FIP is nearly 2.5 runs lower at 4.79. As bad KC has been against right-handed pitching evidenced by a 12-24 record and almost nonexistent scoring average, the Tigers have been even worse bringing up the rear in run production at 3.4 runs per game. He was rock solid versus Detroit in 2022 going 2-0 through three starts with a 1.53 ERA and 21:9 K/BB ratio over 17.2 total innings of work. The under cashed at a 6-4 clip the 10 times these rivals squared off at Kauffman Stadium last season, and I expect another low scorer to play in the series opener. Bet the F5 under instead of FG if able to insert into your same game parlay.
SAME GAME MLB PARLAY: FULL GAME UNDER + LORENZEN OVER PITCHING OUTS + SINGER OVER PITCHING OUTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins
Bailey Ober has led the Twins to wins in each of his last three starts with the last coming in Chavez Ravine against the Dodgers. You know what that means?! Linemakers at BetRivers will hang an inflated moneyline on the board on Monday night in the series opener with the Giants. While we’ve ridden Ober’s recent success, I’m not sold on the youngster’s stats across the board holding up like they have through his first five starts.
San Francisco will prove to be an extreme test for the youngster with J.D. Davis and co. all faring well against his three most heavily used pitches – especially the 4-seamer. On top of that, Alex Cobb has been masterful to this point of the season pitching to a 3-1 record and 1.94 ERA. His 3.16 FIP rates out as one of the best in baseball! The kicker for me here is that the Giants have come out on top in three of his four road starts against the Yankees, Marlins, Padres (L), and Diamondbacks. Coming off his shortest stint of the season, I expect the veteran to bring his “A” game to the yard on Monday night and put his squad in a position to take the opener as an inflated road dog.
SAME GAME MLB PARLAY: GIANTS MONEYLINE + COBB OVER PITCHING OUTS + OBER UNDER PITCHING OUTS
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