Mexico Open at Vidanta Picks

Sportsbook

The PGA Tour heads to Mexico this week for the Mexico Open at Vidanta. World No. 2 Jon Rahm is listed as the favorite in what can only be described as a weak field. Rahm is listed with odds of +470 and then it is a big separation to Abraham Ancer and Daniel Berger at odds of +1500. Ancer is the only other player, other than Rahm, who is in the top 20 in the latest World Golf Rankings. Ancer leads the players from Mexico along with Carlos Ortiz and Roberto Diaz. Let’s look at Mexico Open at Vidanta picks

Venue: This event takes place at Vidanta Vallarta which is a par 71 that measures 7,456 yards. It was designed by Greg Norman and opened in 2015.

Last Year: This will be the first time the Mexico Open is played as a PGA Tour event.

TV Coverage: CBS and Golf Channel

 

Mexico Open at Vidanta Odds

Jon Rahm +470

Abraham Ancer +1500

Daniel Berger +1500

Tony Finau +2400

Gary Woodland +2600

Patrick Reed +2600

Kevin Na +2600

Sebastian Munoz +3100

Aaron Wise +3400

Chris Kirk +3600

Cameron Tringale +3700

Kevin Streelman +4200

Cameron Champ +4200

Aaron Rai +4500

Russell Knox +4500

Sahith Theegala +5000

Brendon Todd +5000

Matt Jones +5000

C.T. Pan +5000

Davis Riley +5000

Charles Howell III +5000

Carlos Ortiz +5000

Doug Ghim +5000

Lanto Griffin +5500

Wyndham Clark +6500

Chad Ramey +6500

Mark Hubbard +6500

Nate Lashley +6500

David Lipsky +6500

Patrick Rodgers +6500

Austin Smotherman +6500

Taylor Moore +6500

Scott Stallings +6500

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +8000

Kevin Chappell +8000

J.T. Poston +8000

Tyler Duncan +8000

Anirban Lahiri +8000

Adam Long +9000

Scott Piercy +9500

Pat Perez +9500

All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more

 

Favorite

Jon Rahm +470

The streak of favorites failing in golf betting continued last week, as the team of Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa was never in contention. This week is a bit different in terms of the golf betting favorite simply because there is such a big gap between Rahm and everyone else. I say every week that the favorite has no value in golf betting and that is the case again this week, but this field is weak and Rahm can definitely win. Perhaps Rahm will break the streak of favorites losing, but I am still not taking him at these odds.

Value Picks

Gary Woodland +2600

Woodland has not won a tournament since the 2019 U.S. Open which is surprising considering his talent. He nearly won this year in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but he couldn’t finish over the last couple of holes. One thing we know about Woodland is that he hits it a long way and he comes in playing well. I think Woodland will contend this week and we get some decent odds.

Sebastian Munoz +3100

The only win for Sebastian Munoz came three years ago in the Sanderson Farms Championship. He has contended quite a few times and he comes into this event in solid form. He is also second in Shots Gained: off-the-tee and third in ball striking in his last 24 rounds.

Aaron Wise +3400

Wise should benefit from the large landing areas on this course, because his accuracy off the tee isn’t that great. Wise has done well on coastal courses in the past and he is definitely capable of contending this week against a field that is relatively weak.

Cameron Champ +4200

We know that this course in Mexico is long so distance off the tee is going to be really important. I usually go against Champ because I think he is overrated, but there is no denying he can hit the ball a long way, as he leads the PGA Tour in driving distance. If he is going to win it should come in an event like this one on a course that is long.

Matt Jones +5000

Jones has not played since finishing second at the Valero so we know he is in good form. He is very good on approach and he can put himself in good positions this week. I am a little surprise that Jones is listed at odds this high, as he can play well in windy conditions and we could see wind as a factor this weekend.

Carlos Ortiz +5000

I have to throw one flyer on Ortiz who will be playing in front of his home fans. Ortiz is listed at big odds and I give him just as much of a chance of winning this event as Ancer who is listed at much lower odds.

Scott Stallings +6500

My longshot this week is Stallings who is long off the tee and solid in Approach. Stallings is in the top 20 in driving distance in the last 12 rounds. Stallings ranks well in a number of categories and he is putting well. I think Stallings has a lot of value and is a realistic longshot this week.

Check out the latest Mexico Open at Vidanta odds at SugarHouse.