John Deere Classic Picks

Sportsbook

By Tom Wilkinson

 

The John Deere Classic just can’t seem to catch a break in terms of getting a strong field. The tournament had traditionally been scheduled the week before the Open Championship, but this year it is held two weeks before golf’s final major of the season. You would think that would make it so that more players would be entered this year, but unfortunately for the John Deere Classic, the PGA Tour scheduled a new event, the Genesis Scottish Open for next week and most players are choosing to prep for the Open by playing next week’s Scottish Open. It also doesn’t help that the new LIV Tour has an event in Portland this week. Webb Simpson is the highest ranked player in this week’s John Deere Classic at No. 58 in the latest World Golf Rankings.

 

Five of the last 10 winners of the John Deere Classic were first-time winners on the PGA Tour. Let’s look at John Deere Classic picks.

 

Venue: TPC Deere Run is a par 71 that measures 7,280 yards. It has seen some low scores, as Paul Goydos shot a 59 in 2010 and that same day Steve Stricker shot a 60. The course has a lot of elevation changes and there is a lot of risk-reward, but overall, the course plays relatively easy.

 

Last Year: Lucas Glover birdied five of the last seven holes last year to win by two shots over Ryan Moore and Kevin Na. Glover shot 19-under par to win for the first time in a decade.

 

TV Coverage: CBS & Golf Channel

 

John Deere Classic Odds

Webb Simpson   +1200

Adam Hadwin   +1800

Jason Day   +2800

Sahith Theegala    +2900

Denny McCarthy    +3000

Maverick McNealy    +3100

Brendon Todd    +3300

Charles Howell    +3400

Scott Stallings    +3700

Adam Long    +3700

Patrick Rodgers    +3700

Nick Hardy    +3700

Cameron Davis    +4000

Cameron Champ    +4200

J.T. Poston    +4200

Christiaan Bezuidenhout    +4200

Adam Svensson     +4500

John Huh     +4500

Kevin Streelman    +4500

Lucas Glover    +4500

Martin Laird    +5000

Emiliano Grillo    +5000

Dylan Frittelli    +5000

C.T. Pan    +5000

Chez Reavie    +5000

Taylor Pendrith    +5500

Adam Schenk    +5500

Doug Ghim    +5500

Anirban Lahiri    +5500

Lanto Griffin    +5500

Alex Smalley    +5500

Steve Stricker    +6000

Mark Hubbard    +6500

David Lipsky    +6500

J.J. Spaun    +6500

Patton Kizzire    +6500

Charley Hoffman    +6500

Hank Lebioda    +7000

Nate Lashley    +8000

Chesson Hadley    +8000

Lee Hodges    +8000

Ryan Armour    +8000

Kramer Hickok    +8000

Ryan Moore    +8000

Tyler Duncan    +8000

Zach Johnson    +8000

Chad Ramey    +8000

James Hahn    +8000

Nick Taylor    +8000

Andrew Putnam     +8000

Matthias Schwab    +9500

Callum Tarren    +9500

Michael Thompson    +9500

Taylor Moore    +9500

Brandt Snedeker    +9500

Matt Wallace    +9500

Hayden Buckley    +9500

Rory Sabbatini    +9500

Christopher Gotterup    +9500

 

All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more

 

FoxBet Sportsbook ReviewFavorite

Webb Simpson +1200

I shouldn’t have to say it any longer, as if you follow me on this pick’s column you know that golf favorites don’t win that often. You simply can’t bet the favorite in a golf tournament on a regular basis and make money. It isn’t any different this week, as Simpson is overvalued. He has not won an event since 2020 and he doesn’t have a top-10 finish this year. I am definitely not taking Simpson at odds this low.

 

Value Picks

 

Maverick McNealy +3100

McNealy is good on short courses and Deere Run definitely fits that category. McNealy finished second at Pebble Beach, he tied for 4th at Harbour Town and he tied for 20th at Colonial. The field this week is definitely nothing special and we know that the John Deere is a good tournament for players to get their first PGA Tour win.

 

Scott Stallings +3700

Stallings has played well in the past in this event with three finishes in the Top 20 in his last four starts. He seems to be going in the right direction with some solid scores on Thursdays in his last seven tourneys. This would seem to be a good spot for Stallings to contend.

 

John Huh +4500

Another player who is trending in the right direction is Huh who has gained stroked tee-to-green in his last three starts. He has been really good from short distances and he should get a lot of chances to make birdies this week. I think he has some value this week.

 

Kevin Streelman +4500

I am a little surprised the odds on Streelman are not lower. This field is weak, and Streelman can win. He has done well in this event in the past with three top-10 finishes and he won’t be overwhelmed by marquee players this week.

 

Steve Stricker +6000

We know that Stricker loves to play this event. He is actually skipping the U.S. Senior Open to play this event. Stricker is still playing well enough to win and on this course, he won’t face a ton of top competition. Why not take a shot on Stricker at big odds?

 

Patton Kizzire +6500

One thing we know about Kizzire is that when he gets into contention, he is a real threat to win. You don’t see Kizzire on leaderboards that often, but did you know that he has two PGA Tour wins? I think he can be in the mix this week and we get some attractive odds.

 

Check out the latest John Deere Classic odds at SugarHouse.