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It was another solid showing for my rabid dawg selections in Week 12 with two of the three sinking their teeth in the opposition to score outright victories. The Jacksonville Jaguars put forth one of the best fourth quarter showings in the recent history of the franchise to shock the Baltimore Ravens 28-27. The Carolina Panthers had no issues whatsoever disposing of the Denver Broncos as expected. The lone loser proved to be the Atlanta Falcons who had their chances but ultimately failed to see it all the way through against the surging Washington Commanders. The 2-1 effort added to our bottom line over at PointsBet Sportsbook and I’ll attempt to add even more in Week 13 with three more teams worthy of taking stabs with on the moneyline.
Bet Week 13 Moneylines at PointsBet Sportsbook
New York Jets +130
The Vikings outlasted the Patriots on Thanksgiving night getting help from the refs and special teams to pull out the 33-26 win and cover as field goal favorites. I actually had New England on the moneyline in that one and couldn’t believe the amount of things that went Minnesota’s way all game long. That’s been the team’s “MO” right from the opening week of the season, so I guess I should’ve expected it. The Vikings are by far one of the more fraudulent 9-2 teams I’ve ever seen. Save for a potent passing attack mostly due to Justin Jefferson being one of if not the best wide receivers in the NFL, not much else jumps off the stat page in a positive light pertaining to this team.
It can’t run the ball (No. 26). It can’t defend the pass (No. 32), and its league average at getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks (No. 16). If it’s truly worthy of being the NFC’s No. 2 seed, why’s it only laying 3-points against a NY squad clinging to the seventh seed in the AFC? I’ll tell you why! It’s because the Jets are the better overall team that’s a fluke punt return for a touchdown against New England away from being undefeated on the road. On top of that, it sports by far the better of the two defenses. If Sauce Gardner shuts Jefferson down much like I anticipate, Minnesota could get laughed off the field. This should be a pick ‘em so bypass laying the juice on the point spread and take the extra cheddar on the moneyline instead!
New York Giants +115
Here I go again fading the Commanders in hopes of their current win streak coming to a close. While I’m no doubt playing with fire as hot Ron Rivera’s squad has been for the better part of the last two months, this is a spot I fully expect the GMEN to rise to the occasion in knowing full well its season just might be on the line. Brian Daboll’s Giants were the toast of the NFC at one point this year. They got out to a 6-1 SU start and logged wins against the Titans and Ravens. But since winning and covering a game they could’ve just as easily lost to the Texans, New York has dropped two straight to the Lions and Cowboys. That loss to Detroit just so happened to occur in their own digs the last time they played in front of the hometown faithful.
Up until last season, the Giants had the Commanders number winning five straight and covering four of those matchups against the closing NFL odds. This game marks the second straight time that it’s caught points at home to Washington, and I don’t foresee Saquon Barkley and company taking kindly to that. Think they memory banked the 22-7 butt kicking they absorbed the last time? I certainly do! As great Taylor Heinicke has proven to be for the Commandos, I’m still not sold on him being a QB1 in this league. Wink Martindale is going to cook something up for this matchup that allows for NY to limit Washington on the ground. I’ll pony up to see if Heinicke can get it done through the air versus a Giants defense that’s logged 14 takeaways (No. 7).
Miami Dolphins +165
I confidently laid the 9-points with the 49ers in last week’s home clash against the New Orleans Saints. I had no business cashing that ticket! N’awlens had numerous opportunities to put points on the board but failed to turn either of its red zone appearances into points and went on to fall 13-0. In the process, Jimmy Garoppolo hurt his knee late in the fourth quarter and is expected to wear a brace for this week’s matchup. On top of that, Christian McCaffrey is battling a knee injury and Elijah Mitchell was just put back on IR. This could get real ugly for the Niners if RUN CMC is limited by a stout Dolphins run defense (No. 10) and Jimmy G has issues moving around in the pocket. Miami’s really amped up its pass rush over the last month evidenced by a 34 percent pressure rate that’s been on par with the 49ers.
San Francisco has been lock down dominant versus the run but has shown it can be had through the air on occasion. This could be one of those occasions with the 1-2 punch of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle unlike anything its run up against this season. While San Fran is the owner of a top-5 pressure rate, Tua Tagovailoa ranks out No. 1 in the league in EPA when under pressure. That could go a long way should he be without Terron Armstead protecting his blindside. Either way, I think the Dolphins are live in this match-up between mentor and protégé.
It was another solid showing for my rabid dawg selections in Week 12 with two of the three sinking their teeth in the opposition to score outright victories. The Jacksonville Jaguars put forth one of the best fourth quarter showings in the recent history of the franchise to shock the Baltimore Ravens 28-27. The Carolina Panthers had no issues whatsoever disposing of the Denver Broncos as expected. The lone loser proved to be the Atlanta Falcons who had their chances but ultimately failed to see it all the way through against the surging Washington Commanders. The 2-1 effort added to our bottom line over at PointsBet Sportsbook and I’ll attempt to add even more in Week 13 with three more teams worthy of taking stabs with on the moneyline.
Bet Week 13 Moneylines at PointsBet Sportsbook
New York Jets +130
The Vikings outlasted the Patriots on Thanksgiving night getting help from the refs and special teams to pull out the 33-26 win and cover as field goal favorites. I actually had New England on the moneyline in that one and couldn’t believe the amount of things that went Minnesota’s way all game long. That’s been the team’s “MO” right from the opening week of the season, so I guess I should’ve expected it. The Vikings are by far one of the more fraudulent 9-2 teams I’ve ever seen. Save for a potent passing attack mostly due to Justin Jefferson being one of if not the best wide receivers in the NFL, not much else jumps off the stat page in a positive light pertaining to this team.
It can’t run the ball (No. 26). It can’t defend the pass (No. 32), and its league average at getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks (No. 16). If it’s truly worthy of being the NFC’s No. 2 seed, why’s it only laying 3-points against a NY squad clinging to the seventh seed in the AFC? I’ll tell you why! It’s because the Jets are the better overall team that’s a fluke punt return for a touchdown against New England away from being undefeated on the road. On top of that, it sports by far the better of the two defenses. If Sauce Gardner shuts Jefferson down much like I anticipate, Minnesota could get laughed off the field. This should be a pick ‘em so bypass laying the juice on the point spread and take the extra cheddar on the moneyline instead!
New York Giants +115
Here I go again fading the Commanders in hopes of their current win streak coming to a close. While I’m no doubt playing with fire as hot Ron Rivera’s squad has been for the better part of the last two months, this is a spot I fully expect the GMEN to rise to the occasion in knowing full well its season just might be on the line. Brian Daboll’s Giants were the toast of the NFC at one point this year. They got out to a 6-1 SU start and logged wins against the Titans and Ravens. But since winning and covering a game they could’ve just as easily lost to the Texans, New York has dropped two straight to the Lions and Cowboys. That loss to Detroit just so happened to occur in their own digs the last time they played in front of the hometown faithful.
Up until last season, the Giants had the Commanders number winning five straight and covering four of those matchups against the closing NFL odds. This game marks the second straight time that it’s caught points at home to Washington, and I don’t foresee Saquon Barkley and company taking kindly to that. Think they memory banked the 22-7 butt kicking they absorbed the last time? I certainly do! As great Taylor Heinicke has proven to be for the Commandos, I’m still not sold on him being a QB1 in this league. Wink Martindale is going to cook something up for this matchup that allows for NY to limit Washington on the ground. I’ll pony up to see if Heinicke can get it done through the air versus a Giants defense that’s logged 14 takeaways (No. 7).
Miami Dolphins +165
I confidently laid the 9-points with the 49ers in last week’s home clash against the New Orleans Saints. I had no business cashing that ticket! N’awlens had numerous opportunities to put points on the board but failed to turn either of its red zone appearances into points and went on to fall 13-0. In the process, Jimmy Garoppolo hurt his knee late in the fourth quarter and is expected to wear a brace for this week’s matchup. On top of that, Christian McCaffrey is battling a knee injury and Elijah Mitchell was just put back on IR. This could get real ugly for the Niners if RUN CMC is limited by a stout Dolphins run defense (No. 10) and Jimmy G has issues moving around in the pocket. Miami’s really amped up its pass rush over the last month evidenced by a 34 percent pressure rate that’s been on par with the 49ers.
San Francisco has been lock down dominant versus the run but has shown it can be had through the air on occasion. This could be one of those occasions with the 1-2 punch of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle unlike anything its run up against this season. While San Fran is the owner of a top-5 pressure rate, Tua Tagovailoa ranks out No. 1 in the league in EPA when under pressure. That could go a long way should he be without Terron Armstead protecting his blindside. Either way, I think the Dolphins are live in this match-up between mentor and protégé.
