FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks

By Tom Wilkinson

The FedExCup Playoffs begin this week with the FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis, Tennessee. The top 125 players on the FedEx Cup points list make this event and then next week, the field is cut to 70 for the BMW Championship. All of the world’s best players are in action this week, so it should be an exciting week of golf at TPC Southwind.


Scottie Scheffler is ranked No. 1 in the latest World Golf Rankings and he also leads the FedExCup standings, but it is Rory McIlroy who is listed as the favorite this week. Let’s take a look at FedEx St. Jude Championship picks.


Venue: TPC Southwind is a par 70 that measures 7,243 yards. The course features Bermuda greens, and it has plenty of water hazards throughout the course. This will be the first time the course has hosted a FedExCup Playoffs event.


Key Stat: Precision ball striking is very important on this course, as the Bermuda greens are small.


Last Year: Tony Finau ended a five-year winless drought by winning this event. It took extra holes, but Finau beat Cameron Smith in a playoff.


Smith hit a wild drive on the first playoff hole and it was quickly over, as Smith made par to win the playoff. Jon Rahm led after 54 holes but he finished in third place.


TV Coverage: NBC & Golf Channel


FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds

Rory McIlroy              +1100

Scottie Scheffler       +1600

Cameron Smith         +1600

Patrick Cantlay          +1600

Justin Thomas          +1600

Xander Schauffele    +1800

Jon Rahm                   +2000

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +2200

Tony Finau                  +2200

Will Zalatoris              +2600

Cameron Young         +2600

Jordan Spieth             +2600

Sungjae Im                 +2900

Viktor Hovland           +2900

Collin Morikawa         +2900

Shane Lowry              +3100

Sam Burns                 +3400

Hideki Matsuyama    +3400

Billy Horschel             +4200

Russell Henley           +4500

Joaquin Niemann     +4500

Joohyung Kim           +4500

Corey Conners           +5000

Tyrrell Hatton             +5500

Max Homa                  +5500

Aaron Wise                 +5500

Davis Riley                  +8000

Alex Noren                  +8000

Adam Scott                +8000

Keegan Bradley         +8000

Seamus Power          +8000

Cameron Davis          +8000

Webb Simpson          +8500

Taylor Pendrith          +9500

Si Woo Kim                +9500

All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more.


Caesars Sportsbook ReviewFavorite

Rory McIlroy +1100

You should know by now that golf betting favorites rarely win. McIlroy is the top choice in the betting odds this week, but this is a great field. Rory is looking to become the first three-time FedExCup champion, but he doesn’t need to win this event, as he is sixth in FedExCup points. McIlroy hasn’t played since losing the Open Championship. I don’t bet favorites that often and I am not taking McIlroy this week.


Value Picks

Justin Thomas +1600

He won this event in 2020 and he finished in 12th place in 2019. The issue for Thomas has been his putting and even with his putting struggles, he still won this event two years ago. If he gets his putter going this week, he will be the player to beat.


Cameron Young +2600

I continue to be impressed with Young, who should win PGA Tour Rookie of the Year. He has seven top-3 finishes this season. He has proven he can compete with the best on the PGA Tour and this might just be the week he gets his breakthrough win.


Collin Morikawa +2900

If you are looking for a player who is accurate with his irons, then it is hard to find someone better than Morikawa. He is first in proximity from 125-200 yards in the last two years. I expect him to be in contention this week and we get attractive odds of 29-1.


Shane Lowry +3100

Lowry ranks highly in a number of categories, including strokes gained on approach. He has put well on Bermuda greens in the past, and I expect him to do well this week. I’ll take a flyer on him at these odds.


Sam Burns +3400

I am surprised the odds on Burns are this high. He lost in a playoff last year at the FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Burns already has three wins this season, and it would not surprise me to see him win this week.


Hideki Matsuyama +3400

Matsuyama also lost in that playoff a year ago in the FedEx St. Jude Invitational. He has won twice this season and it seems like he is being overlooked this week. I think he will be in contention and we get some good odds.


Brendan Steele +15000

My one big bomb this week is Steele who ranks highly in strokes gained on approach. He finished in the Top 10 at the Memorial and in the PGA Championship. It is not out of the question that he contends this week and we get huge odds.


Check out the latest FedEx St. Jude Championship odds at BetRivers.