College Football Week 7 Market Movers

By Mike Rose

The College Football Market Movers Report looked headed towards a perfect 4-0 ATS tally, but unfortunately Kansas ended up pushing the number, Vanderbilt saw its 20-17 first half lead turn into an ugly 52-28 defeat, and the Gators allowed Mizzou to kick the backdoor in late in the fourth quarter. USC did battle back from a 14-10 second quarter deficit to ultimately cover the closing number at PointsBet Sportsbook.


The following are the biggest line moves that’ve occurred for Week 7 heading into Saturday’s loaded slate.


Virginia Tech +8.5 to +7 (1.5 point move)


The betting market is siding with the home dogged Hokies in Saturday’s Coastal Division standoff with the Hurricanes. If either is to challenge for division supremacy, this is a game that must be won.


That being said, it’s surprising to see a 1.5-point move with only 52 percent of the bets and 55 percent of the money backing VTECH.


Kentucky +6 to +4 (2 point move)


Though the Wildcats enter this tilt with Hail State dropping two straight to Ole Miss and South Carolina and the Bulldogs invade Lexington winners of three straight, the betting line has moved in favor of the home team.


It’s done so by way of reverse line movement with Miss State logging 54 percent of the action and 65 percent of the handle. Hmmmm…


Purdue -12 to -14 (2 point move)


Off back-to-back upset wins over Minnesota and Maryland on the road, the Boilermakers return home to square off against Nebraska and the betting line swelling leads one to believe PU is the clamored side.


That however isn’t the case with Big Red hogging 78 percent of the bets and 66 percent of the money. Nebraska is in the midst of a two-game win streak of their own.


Florida State +5.5 to +3.5 (2 point move)


Though Dabo’s Tigers have taken in 67 percent of the bets and money, linemakers have shortened the number to beat by two full points.


Chalk it up to the betting public simply just fading Clemson every chance it gets. It didn’t work in their favor the last two weeks against NC State and Boston College. It remains to be seen if the third straight time proves to be the charm.


Minnesota -3.5 to -6.5 (3 point move)


The Fighting Illini have been one of the bigger surprises of the CFB betting season with Brett Bielema’s kids getting out to a 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS start. Even so, the betting market is fading them in this enormous West Division showdown at home against the Golden Gophers who’ve taken in 72 percent of the bets as well as 74 percent of the money.


Guess we’re going to see whose highly ranked run defense is worth its weight in salt!


Points-Bet-Banner-Oct-04-2022-07-33-02-41-PMArkansas +2.5 to PK (2.5 point move)


Kalani Sitake’s Cougars have been the heavily bet side leading up to Saturday’s home tilt with Arkansas, but it’s the Hogs that’ve gotten the support on the betting line. The number to beat is down to a pick ‘em at PointsBet even though BYU’s taken in 74 percent of the money.


The line move is either a result of respected sharp accounts forcing the reverse line movement or QB K.J. Jefferson returning to the Razorbacks huddle after missing last week’s game at Mississippi State.


San Jose State -5.5 to +8.5 (3 point move)


Linemakers can’t seem to get a handle on the Spartans with the team’s betting line already moving multiple points on a number of occasions. San Jose State is now three-points higher than it initially hit the board at against Fresno State with it snagging 69 percent of the bets.


However, it’s only taken in 53 percent of the money. Are the Bulldogs live?


Oklahoma -7.5 to -9 (1.5 point move)


Though QB Jalon Daniels is expected to miss this week’s trek to Norman, the betting market is surprisingly backing Kansas with 82 percent of the bets and 56 percent of the money. That however hasn’t stopped the betting line from moving in OU’s direction which suggests the Sooners 17-game win streak in the recent rivalry won’t be in jeopardy.


Let’s see what KU has to say about that even with Jason Bean under center.


Texas -14 to -16 (2 point move)


Fresh off a 49-0 beat down of Oklahoma in the Red River Shootout, Steve Sarkisian’s Longhorns once again find themselves in a position to win the Big 12 even though that overtime loss to Texas Tech remains on the docket.


While the betting line has moved in UT’s favor, it’s the Cyclones that’ve gotten a bulk of the bets (79%) and money (81%) leading up to Saturday’s early morning kick in Austin. Go figure - another bout of RLM on the slate!


Wisconsin -5 to -7.5 (2.5 point move)


With Paul Chryst’s dismissal putting a spark in the Badgers last week, the betting market is back for seconds with Wisconsin set to take on Michigan State in East Lansing where it hasn’t been to since 2016. A healthy 64 percent of the bets have pushed the number to beat past a key number, but the money is split 50/50.


Does this mean Sparty’s four-game losing streak comes to an end? They won outright as home dogs both times last season, but Mel Tucker’s kids are 0-2 SU and ATS in both instances to date losing by an average of 28 points per game.