Big 12 Tournament Futures Odds – Two to Buy, One to Sell

By Mike Rose

The Kansas Jayhawks took home their 21st regular season title and will take the half-hour bus ride into Kansas City as the top seed in the Big 12 Tournament. Bill Self did a masterful job of coaching the Jayhawks up this season with 70 percent of his scoring from last year’s championship team moving on. Already expected to lock down one of the No. 1 seeds in the upcoming NCAA Tournament, it remains to be seen how balls to the wall Jalen Wilson and his mates are to cut down the nets on Saturday night. As such, I truly question whether BetRivers Sportsbook should have KU installed the odds-on favorite to win this tourney in back-to-back years. Seven of the conference’s ten overall members have already punched tickets to the Dance, so it all basically comes down to line value when attacking the futures odds to win it. With that, here’s two to buy and one to sell for the toughest conference tourney in the land!


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Bet-Rivers-Banner-Sep-29-2022-03-57-25-53-PM-3BUY: Kansas State Wildcats +1000


The college basketball betting market has been enamored with two Texas schools since the Big 12 Tournament odds hit the board; same with Iowa State for one reason or another. Texas has seen its odds shrink from 5-1 to 3-1, while TCU has gone from +750 to +600. That in essence has created buying opportunities for the top two favs in Kansas and Baylor who each saw their rate of return fatten up since the open. However, there’s been absolutely zero love for Jerome Tang’s Kansas State Wildcats whose odds have been parked at 10-1 since first being made public.


While I get playing away from the “Octagon of Doom” wasn’t the team’s forte evidenced by the poor 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS records, but I’m expecting a huge contingent of support in Kansas City through the weekend with Markquis Nowell and Co. looking to score the program’s first-ever Big 12 Tournament title. Funny things happen in these types of settings, and it doesn’t hurt that the tournament is being played in the Wildcats’ home state. It’ll undoubtedly be tough to get to the finals with games likely to go against the Horned Frogs and Longhorns, but I think Keyontae Johnson and his mates will be the most determined bunch in the bottom half of the bracket. The +1000 rate of return makes it that much more attractive to take a shot!


BUY: West Virginia Mountaineers +1700


My second buy came down to Texas Tech or West Virginia. But with Lubbock up in arms over the current Mark Adams fiasco, I’ll instead defer to the Mountaineers whom I’ve doubted throughout the regular season. For the life of me, I couldn’t figure out why analytic sites like KenPom rated Bob Huggins’ kids so highly with it sporting such a terrible record in Big 12 play. It however all looks to be coming together for the Mounties who closed the regular season out with three wins in their final four games against Oklahoma State (85-67), @Iowa State (72-69), and K-State (89-81). The lone defeat came in the form of a 76-74 loss to Kansas in the Phog as near 10-point underdogs!


Believe it or not, but the Pomeroy Ratings currently have WVU ranked as the 17th best team in the nation sitting only behind Baylor, Kansas, and Texas in conference. The about face has largely had to do with the team’s PTPers finally being worth their weight in salt. Erik Stevenson, Kedrian Johnson, and Tre Mitchell have been playing with their hair on fire of late which has seen a major uptick in the offense’s scoring output. WVU gets a cushy first round matchup with the Red Raiders and will then get a revenge bout with the Jayhawks. Should it do a better job limiting Kansas from the perimeter, it can shock the world and pull the upset. Much needs to go right to have a shot to cash this ticket, but WVU has the look of a team hell bent on busting the B12 bracket over the next week!


SELL: TCU Horned Frogs +600


It pains me to recommend fading the TCU Horned Frogs considering how high I was on Jamie Dixon’s kids throughout the regular season, but I’m simply not a fan of how the team looks right now with it nowhere close to being 100 percent. Mike Miles Jr. hasn’t been himself since returning from that horrific leg hyperextension suffered back on January 28. Eddie Lampkin Jr. also still looks to be battling the ankle injury suffered at Kansas back on January 21. The former is the heart and soul of the roster and must be locked in for it to excel in a tournament setting.


I could be flat out wrong about this observation and the Frogs flip the switch and dominate. However, I think it’s in the program’s best interest to get bounced early and rest up for what waits the following week. Instead of investing in the Horny Toad’s odds to win the Big 12 Tournament, I’d instead buy some +3500 over at BetRivers to win the whole darn thing – No, I’m not joking!


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