3M Open Picks

By Tom Wilkinson

The final major of the season is now in the rear-view mirror and that means we have just three events remaining before the FedExCup Playoffs begin. The field for this week’s 3M Open is definitely nothing like what we saw last week at the Open Championship, but there are a lot of recognizable names. Tony Finau is listed as the golf betting favorite at odds of +1300, while Hideki Matsuyama is the second choice at odds of +1600. All other players are listed with odds of +2000 or higher. Let’s take a look at 3M Open picks.


Venue: TPC Twin Cities is a par 71 that measures 7,431 yards.


Key Stat: This course will have players playing second shots from over 175 yards so that means a key stat to consider is proximity from 175 yards or more. The top ten players in that category in this field are Brendan Steele, Cam Davis, Hideki Matsuyama, Lucas Glover, Michael Kim, Hayden Buckley, Tyler Duncan, Lee Hodges, David Lingmerth, and Jared Wolfe.


Last Year: Cameron Champ picked up the third win in his career, as he shot a 5-under 66 in the final rounds. Louis Oosthuizen, Jhonattan Vegas, and Charl Schwartzel tied for second.


TV Coverage: CBS & Golf Channel


3M Open Odds

Tony Finau      +1300

Hideki Matsuyama      +1600

Sungjae Im      +2000

Adam Hadwin      +2000

Maverick McNealy      +2200

Davis Riley      +2600

Sahith Theegala      +2600

Cameron Davis      +2700

Cameron Tringale      +2700

J.T. Poston      +3300

Chez Reavie      +3300

Charles Howell III      +3300

Brendan Steele      +3400

Mark Hubbard      +3400

Adam Long      +3400

Martin Laird      +3400

Nick Hardy      +3700

Jason Day      +4000

Adam Svensson      +4200

Brendon Todd      +4200

Emiliano Grillo      +4200

Cameron Champ      +4500

Ryan Palmer      +4500

Rickie Fowler      +4800

Wyndham Clark      +5000

Christopher Gotterup      +5000

Dylan Frittelli      +5500

Matthew NeSmith      +5500

Lanto Griffin      +6000

C.T. Pan      +6000

Troy Merritt      +6500

Erik van Rooyen      +6500

Austin Smotherman      +6500

Lucas Glover      +6500

Stewart Cink      +7000

Tom Hoge      +7000

John Huh      +7000

Doug Ghim      +7000

Danny Lee      +8000

Adam Schenk      +8000

Danny Willett      +8000

Nick Taylor      +8000

Tyler Duncan      +8000

Beau Hossler      +8000

Michael Thompson      +8000

Hayden Buckley      +8000

Patton Kizzire      +9500

Callum Tarren      +9500

Stephan Jaeger      +9500

Greyson Sigg      +9500

Matthias Schwab      +9500

All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more


SugarHouse Sportsbook Review


Tony Finau +1300

The favorite lost once again last week, as Rory McIlroy couldn’t deliver at the Open Championship. It is also worth noting that the favorite also flopped in the Barracuda Championship. This week it is Finau listed at the top of the golf odds board. He has played well in this event in the past, as he had a tie for 3rd in 2020. As I say every week, there is no value in betting golf favorites and I am not taking Finau at odds this low.


Value Picks

Davis Riley +2600

I think there is a real chance we get a first-time winner this week, as the field at the 3M Open is not that strong. Riley would definitely be one of the leading candidates and he already has six top-10 finishes this season. The first of my picks for this week will be Riley.


Cameron Davis +2700

Many of the stats this week point to Davis as being a serious contender. He ranks highly among the players in this field in several categories including Shots Gained: Approach. Davis played well last week at the Barracuda, as he tied for 6th. I’ll take Davis at these odds.


Brendan Steele +3400

Another player who ranks highly in this field in a number of categories, including our key stat where he tops the field is Steele. He knows how to win, as he has three PGA Tour victories and he has four top-10 finishes this season. I think Steele can contend this week.


Christopher Gotterup +5000

I think Gotterup has a chance to surprise this week. He has only played in six PGA Tour events but you can see his talent. He contended at the John Deere Classic and finished in a tie for fourth. He hits the ball a ton and we know that is important on this course and his profile seems a lot like defending champion Cameron Champ. Gotterup can struggle with accuracy and putting, but he puts himself in good positions because of his length. I think there is definite value in taking Gotterup this week.

Check out the latest 3M Open odds at SugarHouse.